The market has not priced in a full scaled war, just an incursion and destablising sanctions and halt of Nordstream:
I feel for Germany, got to admit. Russia and NATO left them no choice, but halting Nordstream is going to hurt a lot and have large repercussions. That having been said, I salute the decision to halt it ! Credit where it is due.
How about taking advice from others as well on the said nickname. Maybe a poll or something.
Maybe not on this thread. Was a funny comment though, Limp Bizkit is phenomenally awful.
Anyway, back to Ukraine:
Also Belgorod:
A few kilometers from the border, you can here see armour dispersing:
One of the assembly bases of BTGs now being dispersed to field positions.
Anyway, There are huge parallels between this and to the cuban crisis at cold war era , atleast from the Russian perspective
Then we’d see US getting worked up because the russians would have a base from which they can launch attacks on US soil w.r.t Cuba. Now we see Russians doing the same because if Ukraine were to become a NATO member , That would mean the same as well.
They don’t need Ukraine for that. The Baltic states are NATO members since 2004, they could easily place them there.
During the Cuban crisis, Cuba was of strategic value because a nuclear strike there could be delivered with very short reaction time. Nowadays, with the weapons systems the Russians (and others have), I’m pretty sure a strike could be delivered fairly quickly from anywhere - so proximity is less of an issue.
I’m not sure what strategic value Ukraine is in reality to NATO / the US. This feels more like an excuse as in reality Russia know full well that there is zero chance of anyone invading it and the out come of a nuclear strike from Ukraine is not that different to that from Europe or the the US itself…
The one thing this debacle has shown however is that any sort for ground war will likely be known (to everyone else) well in advance of it actually happening. There’s no way to hide the movement of that many people, vehicles and armaments from the world.
It’s about the russian perspective. The perspective is that Russians still see the erstwhile soviet states as being within their sphere of influence.
Let’s just say that there is a conflict between India and China happening and India sees Sri Lanka as within it’s sphere of influence , Do you think India will allow China to establish a military base in Sri Lanka ?
Not likely, but at the same time, I also see it unlikely if China tried to do that, India would invade China
But I am not overly familiar with Indian politics so could be totally wrong on that account
But they would take actions against Srilanka for sure. It might not lead to invading srilanka but all countries have been known to excert and maintain their sphere of influence.
I find that video a bit concerning. I’ve always considered Putin as a hard nose, and certainly not one for democracy or equality, but as a rational being in the whole, with clear targets and a logic which can be understood, if not accepted or shared.
But him making a fool out of one of his most important advisers, in front of public cameras, isn’t logical nor rational. It can only harm the public perception of his government, both in and outside of the country, as well as weakening the internal functioning of his own government.
Also, one can clearly see that he seems to be under a lot of pressure himself. His body language isn’t the one we are accustomed to see from him. Hopefully he’ll keep a clear head. The last thing we need now is the Russian head of state tipping into madness.
I think that ship has sailed.
Are they not going to build a port in Sri Lanka? The belt and road strategy? - or something along those lines…? Im not sure what India can do in reality. It’s sort of like a python slowly but surely winding itself around a croc… hopefully both wont die in the process but that seems to be the game - regarding India and China… Its possible that time will leads both to pursue other prey and with India and China that is still a possibility.
China has already weaved a web around India - Srilanka, Pak, Nepal, Bhutan, Myanmar, etc. Regarding Srilanka, its already an base camp of China - https://www.financialexpress.com/defence/chinas-growing-presence-in-sri-lanka-and-indias-concerns/2260612/
India is lazy, slow, stupid and divides right from the days Nehrus
China’s official take on the situation:
“The United States have continued to sell arms to Ukraine, increasing tensions, creating panic and have even exaggerated the timing of a war,” Chinese diplomatic spokeswoman Hua told reporters.
“The key question is what role the United States have played in the current tensions in Ukraine,” the spokeswoman asked.
“Someone who adds fuel to the fire, while blaming others, is someone who is immoral and irresponsible,” Hua Chunying said.
(from the Swiss newspaper Le Temps, went through google translate)
Literally the modern-day equivalent of Chinese whispers!
Well, the translation from French to English is more or less accurate I think. Can’t say what happened when it went from Chinese to French though… 
It’s got a port in Srilanka , That’s not the same as having a base in Lanka. Atleast not yet.
Russia has started electronic warfare, a prelude for attack:
FSB with an unbelievable fairy tale of Ukrainian terrorists arrested while trying to blow up a church in Crimea:
Part something of the false flag pretexts:
A picture of the nazi they allegedly arrested 
May be a probing attack by the militias.
And yeah, old pattern, mix of T-62 and T-72’s:
Also, some propaganda: