Its too risky to cross there if they do go for south of the Dnieper I’d expect from the East where they are already established. Surrounding the NPP and then Melitopol would be the next targets?
1 Like
Yes, geograpically it seems absurd to land there for obvious reasons. Can’t reinforce nor supply it except by boat and yeah, that’s why I don’t believe it. Posted it anyway since Russians claim it. It could be a Ukrainian scout party though.
2 Likes
Zaporozhye front is an obvious front for me, but let’s wait and see, And then we have Luhansk and the Svatove front which is in motion. But the forces in Kherson, could go to zaporozhye I think.
1 Like
Im expecting the play now is SF units (SAS lol) start a new wave of sabotage.
The Reporting from Ukraine guy has been talking about it too ;
2 Likes
Would be as stupid as Galipoli , so it must be disinfo to confuse Ivan, and hence the attack must be coming elsewhere.
It is only a little more than 2km across, and the Russians really cannot control those waters. Any significant concentration of defenders is in easy artillery range. Ukraine does not really need significant force landing there to cause the Russians a headache.
1 Like
Its full of swamps and bogs 
for any link to the wider peninsula. It would be a land and stay in place operation of which i cannto see any tactical value, other than as you say causing the Russians headaches. There are better places to do that out there. I’m still fancying that Black Sea Fleet base
1 Like
It is practically perfect for small force infiltration, but not much else. Taking one of those coastal settlements could only have the purpose of trying to entice Russian forces into range.
If they could get some heavy weapons on it, there could be a tactical advantage, but that means floating them in and then any exfil would be too difficult. Fort Bragg would probably not sanction their gear going there. I have a feeling Zaphorizje plant is the next focus of the war, what with the destruction to the Ukr energy infrastructure already this seems imperative. So my guess us an intensification of UN rhetoric, inspectors etc, whilst plan B goes ahead, which should be splitting the land to the south of the Dnieper.
I’d say even a well organised resistance could be sufficient.
I doubt Russia sees it as very important, in fact on many positional maps this little peninsula has been marked as no mans land.
One of those areas where you can just come and go.
Hmm
2 Likes
It has more of an appeal than Slayer 
1 Like
2 Likes
Serbian honest fascist about the possible scout (or general, I can’t say, just guessing) landing
1 Like
Mostly all of this undermines talk of a secret deal; Ukraine still waging on at running Russians. Worries me then that Putin will do something terrible, because thats what Russia does best.
With the range of 155mm guns, esp. with Excalibur shells, I don’t there would be any need to get heavy weapons there. Just a small number of special forces guys with targeting lasers, and Ukrainian artillery could cause devastation with M712 Copperhead shells and similar.
2 Likes
1 Like
There is no and has never been any deal, apart from extremely local tactical deals. Those are Russian rumours to explain defeat.
1 Like