No worries. And hello ! I am well, thank you. But off to bed now. I’ll write something tomorrow. Very tired.
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They probably do have the means ( with what’s been provided by EU and US/UK. The problem however is that any such attack would trigger a much more severe wave of Russian bombing in retaliation.
Russia can withstand the odd missile attacks with minimal losses, Ukraine can’t, not too many at any rate anymore.
And even continued weapon supplies to ukraine would mean naught if Ukraine continues to lose boots on ground.
Yes, there is a great need. Russian logistics ,petrolium industry, munitions industry are all priority targets along with Russian air fields. Many other targets are important to bomb, such as air defence, command and control, troop barracks and more. The need is great because logistics wins industrial wars. Logistics enable offensives as well as protracted defense. RU army uses millions of litres of petrol, oil, millions of shells; all of these must be shipped to the front through Russia as an example. Russian industry produces thousands of drones, hundreds of tanks a year; destroying the factories are important in an attritional industrial war.
Ukraine is not allowed to use HIMARS against targets inside Russia proper. No one in the West denies Ukraine using their own domestically produced drones, rockets and missiles to strike Russia and this also happens quite often. Just not on the same scale as Russia and it requires more planning for Ukraine to launch these strikes, since it requires good intelligence to evade air defences and more. But last week the major petrolium plant in St. Petersburg was bomb, as you can see here: Ukraine drones hit St Petersburg gas terminal in Russia
A very impressive feat since it is in the Russian deep rear to put it mildly. Ukraine has also struck Russian air fields, destroying strategic air lifts and bombers in the past with drone swarms and modifications of their S-200 anti air rockets, modified for ground attack. But Russian E-WAR is mighty (and honestly quite good at defeating NATO supplied GPS weapons) and again, to defeat their air defence and defensive E-WAR an attack must be carefully planned. It would be much easier if they had ballistic missiles like Russia has, or cruise missiles to strike these targets with. But they don’t have that, so rely on drones, rockets and special forces to strike priority targets.
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Adiivka is Bakhmut 2.0
I really don’t understand why you write what you write. It would take you no time what so ever to google or trawl through twitter, for 5 min, and see that what you say is incorrect. Very little time. Far less than I spend responding to you. I don’t get it. The war is not a Game Show. You treat it like a Japanese game show, or alternatively, just parrot Russian talking points. It is unbelievable that 2 years into the war, you haven’t noticed large scale Ukrainian attacks inside Russia.
Ukraine has struck Russia quite often, it does not generally trigger something “worse”. If you don’t understand how Russia wages it’s missile war, why write anything about it ? There were several months prior to this winter where Russia practically didn’t launch a missile. Everyone who follows the war knows this. You don’t, but you write as if you did, which I will never ever understand. Why did they not launch strikes everyday ? Because they were building up their depleted missile stocks. That is how it works. Obviously Russia spitefully launches some missiles when something is hit inside Russia, their people demand it. But generally these unplanned missiles strikes cause very little damage to Ukraine and only kills some civilians, which has little bearing on the war. Why ? Because Russia too, must cope with Ukrainian air defences so plan their strikes to attempt to defeat it. There is no real escalation. There can be no escalation, Russia is already all in so that is Russian propaganda lines, as they can only truly escalate with nukes. Russia can’t fire 400 missiles a day into Ukraine. Do you have any idea as to how difficult that is for them ? How many bombers they must use, submarines, the logistics and command and control involved ? If they were to launch such massive strikes like they did in the first days of the war it takes weeks if not months of planning.
Others who don’t know, ask. You don’t. You just blurt out categorical statements and invent instead of doing minor research or asking those who know better. When you don’t have a clue, don’t write as if you do. It’s all very basic really when the subject matter is more important than a football game.
I am at a loss to understand why you comment about strikes inside Russia when you have spent so little time to follow the war that you are completely and utterly oblivious to the many Ukrainian strikes targeting Russian targets far, far inside Russia.
This, of course, is not true.
Ukraine has a lot of theoretical manpower left and Zelinsky has, like I said in posts above, not mobilised as many as the army wants. This is for economic and political reasons. But Ukraine can definately afford (well family members can’t, but that’s not the point here) to lose significantly more soldiers both dead and wounded, it is the rate of losses that is most critical, not total number (takes time to conscript and train etc.) as well as public will to sacrifice. It reads like Russian State TV talking points here. They claim that Ukraine is out of people and that there are no men left in the country in Olga Skabaevas and Vladimir Solovyov’s wonderful daily brainwashing shows. But yes, manpower is a very large problem indeed and Ukrainian defenders are very thinly manned at some vectors of the front and they do absolutely need significantly more men to be conscripted.
The main Ukrainian problem is however that here is intense ammunition hunger in Ukraine and lack of sophisticated offensive strike ability forces UA on the defensive, since they don’t have ammunition for offenses. Their main problem is that they don’t have enough artillery ammuniton for adequate defence either at the moment. Enough munitions leads to far less attrition, Ukraine currently suffers far higher losses than previously due to ammuniton shortage. Often artillery cannot fire and sometimes only get 4-8 shells to shoot a day, so must husband the shells like crazy. Hard then to stop Russian attacks which almost always begins with a rolling artillery barrage, followed by their insane mechanised attacks where they drop off infantry. They take thousands and thousands of losses doing this, but if there are not enough shells, infantry dismounts, move into tree lines and advance. When UA defenders are then supressed by artillery, infantry and tanks assaults. Even so, even so; Russia has gained only a few kilometers of advance over the entire front, despite overwhelming artillery superiority.
But sure, they make take Avdiivka soon. But the claim that continued supplies to Ukraine would mean naught is foolishly ignorant. Increased ammunition supplies and better, more sophisticated and actually offensive weapons would inflict terrifying damage on RU forces, grind their advance to a halt and also in the future enable Ukrainian offensives. It would crucially, lead to far, far less manpower losses for UA and give Ukraine more time to conscript and train new batallions and regiments. The idea that Russian losses are irrelevant is also highly dubious. Many RU offenses during this war have been crushed due to lack of manpower since they, well spent it. Kherson was evacuated due to lack of manpower and ammuntion. Kharkiv offensive was successful for Ukraine due to very low manpower strenght of RU forces in the area.
The Russian army, as it was known in 2022 prior to invasion, no longer practically exists. There are only fragments of it left. Almost all of their forces are now badly trained new recuits. It is gone. That Russia can conscript a thousand men daily, then give them 3 weeks training (often less, sometimes more with specialised personell) and then send them to the front is another matter and their army is large, with around 450 000 men in Ukraine. But it is not the same army as in 2022, although of course, war is good training, so those who survive become hardened, but they are severely lacking officers due to attrition.
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Ukaine shot down yet another IL-76 strategic airlifter today, over Belgorod in Russia. Russia claims it was flying around with 65 Ukrainian POWs and that Ukraine knew this, according to Belgorod governor Vjatsjeslav Gladkov, and that it was a terrible cynical war crime. Sounds a tad implausible to me, but…
Ukraine on the other hand claims it had S-300 rockets missiles onboard and that they will continue to shoot down planes over Russia if they can. They also say that Russia did not warn Ukraine that air space had to be open for prisoner transport, as they have previously done a few times.
Russian military blogger Aleksandr Kovalenko, notes that it would be very strange if there were only 3 guards for 65 POWs and notes that there are no bodies found on the ground, which is also strange if the plane was fully packed with people. Telegram: Contact @zloyodessit
It in in any case smashed to pieces and all onboard have died.
https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1750172361750417828
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1750081231113322908
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1750103717179691393
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1750119658353508582
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1750145549385220331
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1750147796953440306
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1750152480598478889
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1750169146057187428
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1750190205963776000
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https://twitter.com/meduza_en/status/1750230965337608342
Interesting spin.
Anyway
https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1750192537946452339
I’ve had a couple of random conversations with 70+ year old males (on separate occasions) recently that touched on or was about the Russia and Ukraine thing. One is German and the other Canadian/Polish and it was quite disturbing how they are either anti-Ukraine and or consider Putin to be on par with Trudeau. Anecdotal admittedly but I immediately jumped to the conclusion of online manipulation… All of this was also coated with prices are sky rocketing, there are greater and greater curbs on freedom and general espousing of how things were better before…
Bending the opinion of the 60+ age group, which use the medium yet are not immunised to the viral content, as many of the young people are, is a great way to affect change.
Thank god young people are dumb? Or. Old people suck.
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trying to make sense of the correlation of Trudeau and Putin
one is the idiot illegitimate son of a communist dictator. the other is a communist dictator.
Neither of them are communist.
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Fidel Castro was the first secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba for 45 years.
Not sure if you can get more communist than that, unless your name is Kim Jong-Un
Did I miss where he was the father of Trudeau?
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possibly.
Good news !
It seems Ukraine has bombed another Russian oil refinery yet again:
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1750271515646394830
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1750271522415984846
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1750271578250559829
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1750271581945774322
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1750284260500545984
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I am certainly not going to write a long post on the reigning Orthodox imperial Nationalist ideology in the mafia state, which is Russia, once again ! 
But there is lots of research on this really. But is is basically Tzar, God (Russian orthodox God of course, he only blesses Rus people) and Blood and Soil in very few words, in my exceptionally humble opinion
Not that I am going to argue against anyone who thinks it is something else…
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Vrooom, vroom, WhAt iS aIr dEfEnCe dOiNg, as the Russians on twitter likes to say.
https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/1750288798460543153
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According to Russians and Maks, Russians infiltrated Avdiivka by tunneling and assaulted and captured UA positions from the rear. Long operations according to RU, they tunneled, masquing the tunneling sounds with artillery shelling.
Reports that UA have recaptured positions though. We’ll see.
https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1750258725607051672
Emil claims it has been repelled (or really, his UA sources claims so):
https://twitter.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1750274243068055927
Emil also writes that UA claims that Zenit is still under their control, which would be really great news tbh.
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Meanwhile, RU is bombing appartment blocks in Odessa and Kharkiv:
https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1750274490506862645
https://twitter.com/revishvilig/status/1750295494922805630
Tatargigami on Avdiivka south:
https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1750282804955410805
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Also, as reported by many, UK has sent Germany a communique asking to buy Taurus, then donate own Storm Shadows to Ukraine. Which sounds great maybe, but really isn’t.
https://twitter.com/FRHoffmann1/status/1750226561117114397
https://twitter.com/deaidua/status/1750223547698466850
https://twitter.com/FHeisbourg/status/1750296900320821553
(The reason why so many experts are pissed off is that Taurus is a much more potent weapon than Storm Shadow). But you can read about it yourself.
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