A bit cheerful one
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Translated from Ukrainian by
Erdogan says he will not let Sweden and Finland into NATO because they have terrorists in their parliaments
UKR seems to be concentrating assets they are receiving elsewhere, likely because they know that they don’t have enough to really swing the fight in Severodonetsk - the brutal reality is that I think the defenders of that city are another Mariupol.
The discussions about suspending Turkey are once again gaining currency - the US and UK should have listened to Canada all those years ago when Canada suggested it was necessary to have an explusion mechanism.
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Good point. Let’s hope not. I hope they have some outer support, air, arty, anything. Hard to find anything useful.
The intel suggests UKR is pushing more in the Kherson area, and to a lesser extent around Kharkiv.
What do you think, they have more and more concentrated forces on the North? And trying to clean out Russians starting from North down to South East?
Oh… maybe someone finds this interesting:
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https://www.eurointegration.com.ua/news/2022/06/9/7140891/
The United States has sent another batch of M777 trailed howitzers as part of a military aid package to Ukraine to fight the Russian invasion.
This is stated in a message from the Pentagon on its Facebook page , writes “European Truth”,
“The US Marine Corps M777 howitzer is being loaded onto a US Air Force C-17 Globemaster III at March Air Force Base, California, as part of US assistance in ensuring Ukraine’s security,” the statement said.
Earlier, Norway officially confirmed that it had handed over 22 M109 self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine , including spare parts, ammunition and other equipment. ACS are already involved at the front.
It will be recalled that the US ambassador said that Washington has already provided $ 1 billion in direct support to Ukraine to strengthen its economy, and another $ 7.5 billion will be provided later.
They seem to be sustaining counteroffensives on reasonably favourable terms both around Kherson, and on a smaller scale in the Kharkiv area. UKR probably expects to lose the rest of the Donbas, but their strategy is to make that expensive and attritional. Elsewhere, where they can get local advantage, they are trying to take territory while still maintaining a favourable rate of exchange on casualties. The Russians are extremely concentrated around the end of the Donbas salient. UKR doesn’t want to place their best assets to face that concentration, and put them at risk of catastrophic loss in the case of the salient getting cut. The formations around Kharkiv are able to put pressure on the Izyum axis and preclude the salient from getting cut off from the north (and seemingly steadily kill Russians while doing it), but the southern 'shoulder is much harder to support.
UKR probably has prepared lines of defense behind Severodonetsk, at which they are more willing to deploy mass artillery - particularly in a counterattack scenario that temporarily neutralizes Russian mass. But until then, they are simply willing to keep trading at the likely rate of 1 to 2.5-3 Unfortunately, the Russians seem willing to sustain that trade rate as well.
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I’ve contemplated this with the UN but rather than expel Turkiye from NATO, could all the other members of NATO simply form another, identical, alliance. Call it Defensive Alliance or something.
Copy and paste NATO Treaty (with improvements such as the expulsion mechanism), re-design the letterheads etc, and BOOM!
Thanks for this. So the Russians as aggressor needs 3-4:1 ratio to be on even level with UA. Even more to win some turf. Can they sustain this kind of manpower long term?