Meanwhile:
https://x.com/skotrds/status/1795041049800269872
https://x.com/skotrds/status/1795042301309329473
If Erdogan is serious, Turkey can do a lot unofficially and they have a very extensive history using Jihadists as pawns in the last 2 decades. Al Qaida, ISIS, they use it all if it suits them in their geoplitical goals.
But I am on the fence about Erdogan being serious.
All day, I tried to make sense of this atrocity. I concluded that ICC charges couldnât come soon enough.
Imo, from my perspective, I donât think Israeli political leadership is in complete control over all elements of the IDF and I also think the IDF is split. Much like aâŚmillitia. I think there is a good chance that the person giving strike intel lies or omitts information and/or the one who takes the decision to strike just ignores RoE from political leadership. That would not be strange, since half the political leadership supports this while the other half sees it as very unfortunate.
I think this war has proved, with all the countless videos from IDF soldiers uploading various smaller types of war crimes or bad behaviour such as wanton destruction of property and making it into a joke and more(but that together becomes very, very big crimes); well I think it has proved that the IDF severely lacks dicipline and coherency. They may fight well, but they behave like a horde in areas they take in Gaza.
In what appears to be a burnt-out building in Gaza, with Hebrew graffiti on the walls reading âKachâ and âKahaneâ, references to an infamous Jewish supremacist and his outlawed political party, a masked soldier addresses Israelâs defence minister.
âYoav Gallant, you canât win the war. Quit. You canât command us,â the man says in a long clip posted to social media on Saturday, in which he pledges loyalty to the prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu. Another 100,000 reservists would mutiny, he warned, if wavering elements of the government such as Gallant scuppered Netanyahuâs goal of âcomplete victoryâ over Hamas.
The above is from a Guardian article published today. But I heard similar things for weeks in not-so-mainstream media.
Yeah, I knowâŚ
Itâs notâŚgood. There are so many extremists in their army, many from the Settler movement and etc.
Worth a watch
Its because Hamas fired missiles into Tel Aviv earlier in the day.
Do we think Turkey might get involved?
Either by increasing tangential involvement, or more overtly?
It must be difficult, with their military resources, to watch the IDF act so brutally.
Turkey will not get directly involved. Turkey if it gets involved will use jihadists and a few specialists under cover from their mil intelligence. That is how Turkey controls most of northern Syria.
Further escalation worries me, that Israel continue until it prompts extreme retaliatory measures from the Arab world.
And then goes running to America for help, playing the victim.
I dont think so, US are turned away from them, I fear even worse than that. Israel will take unmitigated action at Iran.
Meanwhile, according to some sources, Egypt continues to slowly mobilise itâs two primary Field Armies (this has supposedly been going on for many months). They have 3-4 divisions in Sinai now, one of which is at Rafaf.
(I am not saying that I think that Egypt is planning to attack israel, I donât).
Well if you know Israel do. Was about to say the mobilisation could exert influence, then seemingly not.
Israel is busy preparing to invade Lebanon at the political cabinetâs decision and doesnât take Egypt seriously.
Oh even worse. But surely their intel knows of the position of the Egypt forces? Will have to Pm you.
Yes, they know very well. But they think the Sissi-regime is stable and that Egypt would never in a million light years risk Camp David. And perhaps they are right.