The Middle East Thread

Trying to find that.

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The same Pakistan who got their panties in a twist when their air bases were destroyed ?

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You can safely ignore their noise. No one is going to intervene on behalf of Iran.

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https://x.com/vcdgf555/status/1933924146830033002

I am very worried that Israel will likely also go for a lot of economic tagets, such as refineries. That would drive the price of oil up dramatically at a time it is least needed, If Israel singlehandedly saves the Russian economy it would take irony to higher levels.

There are reports of one refinery hit.

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https://x.com/michaelh992/status/1933927728044036329

https://x.com/Charles_Lister/status/1933932726089822280

So that’s 35 min ago or so.

https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1933905841586901004

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https://x.com/shashj/status/1933787824761024767
This is true. Everything about this, is a direct result of October 7th 2023. The conditions for attacking Iran have never been better. I am guessing Hamas is not very popular in Theran at the moment. Iran was supposed to be able to marshall its militias in response to escalation, now they have almost nothing after Syria fell and Hezbollah was exhausted early. And Hamas cannot of course help. For Iran, everything that could go wrong, has gone wrong.

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https://x.com/John_A_Ridge/status/1933933506230694204
https://x.com/John_A_Ridge/status/1933933509304872969

I note that it sucks to have a considerable portion of your deterrance locked in missiles that are mostly just very effective if you manage to use them in a preventative manner (i.e. an Alpha Strike where you get to fire first). After Israel set the foot on the gas pedal with it’s own ā€œsurprise attackā€ (didn’t really come out of the blue and Iran was warned but did not believe the warnings, it has been reported), i doubt that Iran will manage barrage launches of a 1000 missiles at one time. And they need to launch much more than 100 at a time to get properly through Israeli ground based air defence.

Maybe the UK wants to act like an responsible adult, but not sure what the political gain could be from this, though I see obvious political damage from being seen to be defending either party.
https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/1933935063424458792

https://x.com/IsraelRadar_com/status/1933938761143923158
https://x.com/fab_hinz/status/1933791415110193616

https://x.com/fab_hinz/status/1933930436083724602
https://x.com/fab_hinz/status/1933934556807409688

https://x.com/BohuslavskaKate/status/1933917222159683843
'This really should have tipped Iran off and made it take the threat of imminent attack extremely seriously. But they didn’t.

The only logical reason is a later bid for ā€˜Greater Israel’ or promised land.
Their only obstacle as things stand is Iran.

Perhaps in the long term however short to medium term they appear to have all the cards.
Once they flatten Iran what’s to stop them?

I think there’s lots of exaggeration regarding either sides, as is normal in case of a conflict.

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This video is five months old!!!

https://x.com/ELINTNews/status/1933958405309223176
https://x.com/ELINTNews/status/1933962740307013729
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1933975039025799549
https://x.com/Apex_WW/status/1933967187720741338

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1933962648837583102
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1933965157454971352

https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1933969274508394622

https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1933976524400771416
https://x.com/AmitSegal/status/1933965111317713391

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https://x.com/FirstSquawk/status/1933961296472625609
ā€œWhatever happens today cannot be prevented… The fastest way for Iran to accomplish peace is to give up its nuclear weapons program.ā€ -Axios
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