The Russian Invasion of Ukraine (Part 2)

Both Russia and Ukraine should be able to move during height of winter if well clothed. They are not Africans :wink:

But I get your point, it’s more difficult to operate during winter for sure. But if you are used to winter and trained for it, late authum and early winter is worse to operate in if mechanised due to muddy earth.

I did read it. the Russian advantage of hacking and electronic warfare definitely gave them an advantage.

IIRC, the only mobile cell service was monitored by Russians?

EWAR. I am genuinly surprised that the Ukrainians are allowed to use cell phones. When I was a conscript, we were never allowed to use phones during excercises since we would not be allowed to use them in war, due to Russian capabilities to listen in and fuck up insecure communications in so many ways.

Starlink has been a massive help to the Ukrainian comms.

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If I was getting pinpointed the minute my cell turned on, I’d leave it off. common sense and all that.

But these are not professional soldiers like you’ve stated, they’re conscripts and volunteers who don’t understand the theatre of war and the advantages of going dark.

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They should understand it. That’s the job of seargeants , corporals, second- lieutenant and lieutenant to make sure understand the danger of using phones and how unacceptable it (should be) to turn them on inside artillery range. I mean, I learned it in recruit school.

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Russian perspective at Kharkov front as Ukraine tries to advance

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The amount of armour in the Kharkiv area raises an interesting question. Kind of interesting to see what is happening in Ukraine. Focus has been on Kherson offensive, which has been making grinding progress, but possibly at significant cost. Russians have put reserves in, VDV and other higher quality troops, which has slowed gains down. But in past 48 hours, UKR has hit hard in Kharkiv area, gained quite a bit of ground - concentrated armour for the first time, and hitting low quality troops. Rosguardia taking it in the teeth. So the question is, is the shift to the Kharkiv sector a reaction, or planned from the start? Right now the Russians appear to have a significant percentage of their best troops deployed at the end of a compromised supply line and in the one area where UKR appears to have achieved artillery and air parity.

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with the bombardment of the Crimean airfield and the bridges linking the supply chains to the area, I don’t think it’s a surprise to see a concentration of UA forces advancing on that region. Pummeling them with 777 Howitzers at 30km and then advancing into the vacated space.

the fact that Russia has to purchase weaponry from North Korea tells a significant tale. this is truly becoming another Allies v Axis situation and we’re in the early stages…

what’s really interesting is the Zaporizhia NPP is in the contested zone on the south shore of the river, if Ukraine recapture that area they’ll be able to control the electrical supply to that region.

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No, the action in the Kherson area has been unfolding steadily, it is the Kharkiv area that is the surprise. But several observers have been noting that it is the first use of massed armour by UKR, and has reclaimed more ground in 48 hours than a month’s steady pushing around Kherson. Most of what would have been identified as available Russian reserves have been deployed to the lower Dniepr. The forces on the eastern bank can presumably be re-deployed fairly readily, albeit somewhat slowly. But extricating the ones on the western bank will be very difficult.

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maybe i have my tin foil hat on here…

Russia are purchasing weapons from North Korea, and North Korea are supplied by China

100% tin foil hat. Russia can deal directly with Beijing, those two heads of state are meeting next week anyways as Putin tries to rally the troops.

That is not likely to be in their operational plans any time soon - their objectives appear to be the right bank of the Dnipr over the next three months or so.

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North Korea is not supplied by China with artillery munitions, it is one of the few things they produce in great quantaties.
And they have massive stocks, prepared as they are for Korean war, fought primarily with artillery. So definately they can afford to sell a million or maybe more, rounds.

(some blood in the video and you hear the sounds of injured troops)

Some may find this gruesome.

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Right, but at the widest part. The real action is to the west, where it narrows closer to Kherson. Most observers think the UKR objectives are just to the river for now. The nuclear plant is close enough to be shelled, but the front lines have to swing a long way to reach there. Forcing a crossing of the river will be a major operation for UKR.

They are not attacking there. There is sporadic shelling. No assault.

fuck me, I had it totally wrong on the map. I mistook the UA counteroffensive areas as the river itself

my apologies.

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Yeah, I am not crazy about their colour scheme for exactly that reason. At a quick glance, the spot where the river turns south and narrows looks like a secondary inlet.