I’m not sure how to censor the below so those of a sensitive nature, don’t click on the link. It’s not particularly graphic but it appears to be an assassination. This has been going on for a very long time now, there was another fatality of a collaborator a couple of days ago as well. This one was caught on camera it seems so it’s pretty rare first hand footage, if it can be verified as real. Regardless of whether this clip below is real or not, the ongoing targeting of collaborators in the occupied areas is very, very real as is the target spotting and Intel gathering.
It’s this sort of action that typifies why occupations simply never succeed. I’m finding it hard to think of a single one in modern times that managed to successfully keep down an entire population. It may take a year, it may take a decade but it invariably fails, fuck knows why the Russians seem determined to circle the drain about it.
Now would be the time I’d imagine; Ukrainian precision strikes of ammo and lines of supply are likely to have degraded Russian artillery, air defense and command but I reckon there is only a fairly short window to make a fast counteroffensive that counts that won’t get bogged down. More bang for their buck, as it were. The autumn rainy season is likely to be a factor and then winter is going to set in shortly after and I’m not seeing Ukraine mounting a major counteroffensives in conditions that don’t favour any sort of mobility. It will be interesting to see if these initial reports have any real substance to them and if Kherson, in particular, can be liberated.
now the real fighting begins. Ukraine have been chipping away at the defensive keystones. the airfield in Crimea was big, as was the Antonovsky bridge (sp?). now a radar station in Sevastopol, likely to blind an air attack on the main bridge into Crimea which will effectively cut off that whole area of supply chain unless they want to run trucks through Luhansk which will get picked off by artillery…
I’d hope that the UKR allies and twit-journo’s are keeping their lips sealed when it comes to operational advances. This is the time that they should actually be feeding mis-info on public channels to keep the Russkies guessing.
There is some speculation that UKR might actually be quite happy to see Russia reinforce that area, because they now have local artillery superiority and are starting to make that really tell on Russian formations there. Maybe not a counter-offensive at all.
On the other hand, the Russians may be seriously contemplating pulling back, simply because the logistics across the Dniepr are untenable.
I don’t know, but the Ukrainian army is built and trained for defense and mounting a massive Ground Offensive and actually assaulting, will be incredibly hard. Exciting hours and days ahead though.
I think if they think they can do it, they vvill try.
Though vvhat Girkin says, is that this is the Ukrainian focus of the offensive as of today. He isn’t really saying that they are being defeated as such (not yet).
They have been trying to shape the battlefield for months, yes. And also probably tried to train for offensive operations. But it’s not easy. There is a Russian joke I am sure about that.
hrmm…where was that bridge they just took out? could it be that one?
they have effectively cut off that area from Russian supply. maybe they’ll make them swim back across the river or just pound them into the ground with artillery fire…
VVhile I don’t have access to proper tvvitter, been listening to various military analysts and seen many reports. This is an actual offensive. Godspeed to Ukraine !
