I didn’t know that either, but I didn’t go blathering on and on claiming I was correct without looking things up, did I?
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However, to lower the case, a serious crime (not a Serious Crime) must surely be one that requires a custodial sentence of multiple years. I stand by a 5 year sentence being serious (as pointed out, not Serious).
Blathering? Wow, is there no start to your sesquipedalianism?
When one is dealing with the exigencies of what amounts to a crisis (not enough prison space for sentences), there isn’t a great deal of choice about what definitions to use. What you are suggesting would require different legislation, and fairly complex legislation at that which would add an additional gradation of crime (serious but not Serious) to the judicial system, but with what amounts to solely a logistical purpose. You can produce fairly spectacular unintended consequences with that kind of thing.
In practical terms, the population that you are suggesting be targeted for early release would be solely those greater than 2 years and less than 5 years. I don’t know the UK prison data at all, but there is no way that that was not already being done years ago as this crisis was building. No one particularly notices when the 3 year custodial sentences are routinely commuted after 18 months to some kind of release program.
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‘Offenders serving more than five years are being released on licence after spending 40% of their time behind bars.’
It’s always been my understanding that you only serve half your sentence anyway , unless you fuck up badly while you’re in prison. Most of those being released are also coming from open prisons so are not considered dangerous. When you break it down , there’s nothing revolutionary about it , just an acceptance that inmates have to be expedited more quickly , unless that is you want the entire system to come to a standstill and have the doomsday scenario of convicted men serving their sentences in local police stations.
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The doomsday scenario is courts arbitrarily deciding that because the person in front of them at that moment cannot be sentenced to custodial time, they are discharged in some other way.
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They are then released on license. I’m assuming that the early release is not affecting the original sentence, and that they remain within the parole system.
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I believe so? According to New change to some offenders' automatic release dates - GOV.UK the only change is just the 50% → 40%.
I think I read some article not too long ago that the recall rate was similar to what they had expected, and in line with previous experience.
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And before anyone suggests a political agenda, I think the answer is far more prosaic: shoddy journalism.
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You seemed to have missed this bit but never mind
According to the estimates provided by the government, in the year ending March 2025, March 2026 and March 2028 there will be an additional 50,000 pensioners in relative poverty after housing costs.
In the year ending March 2027, March 2029 and March 2030 an additional 100,000 pensioners would be in relative poverty after housing costs, the estimates say.
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I know what would be nice. You know the way the government automatically knows who to take money off due to policy change, how about having a system in place that automatically pays any credits or benefits those same people might be entitled to instead of making them jump through fucking hoops to get them?
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I read it, but the point still stands. The figures are based on a zero increase in pension credit take-up, which (I believe) is not the case, with increased take-up in the wake of the announcements.
The estimates were provided by the government, and the clarification was provided along with the estimates.
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I started full time employment at 21 and was continually working up to 70 and got my pension at 65. About a year ago I was talking to a mate who had two big breaks from work due to redundancies and when we compared what government pension we received I was getting several hundred a month less. To cut a very long story short eventually I got a cheque for several thousand pounds for years of underpayments. Definitely worth checking you are getting the pensions/benefits you are entitled to.
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There was no question, I voiced an opinion that Remain lied by saying they would honour the result of the referendum. I then made a comment that suggested some people have hindered and would like Brexit to fail, just to prove a point - cut off one’s nose to spite their face.
I completely agree with intellectual humility being important. Yet, you call out people voting Leave as RW, not aware of what they were voting for. You suggested I keep my head buried in the sand and yes I did laugh at the suggestion of electoral manipulation because that is what we are currently debating.
It’s not disinflation. The statement from the Treasury was that House Prices could drop by 10 -18% over the next two years if the country voted Leave. The criticism at the time was that their figures were wrong, based on Disinflation? However, the Housing market is up 35%.
But the Franklin Knight graph doesn’t show a negative of 10%-18%. On the graph it says little impact just after Brexit, it also says political uncertainty and further more says normalisation where the house prices are higher.
I can agree with your logic here. But it wasn’t a housing market crash.
Have you read the report? It says post referendum but not as a result of. It also, raises mitigating circumstances, such as holding fuel duty.
I never called Corbyn a Brexiteer just a Eurosceptic. Maybe he did arrive at his view/opinion on selective evidence but the fact remain the he was voted in by members as Party leader, Labour membership grew and he achieved more votes than Starmer - as many as 12m. Why was this? Why vote for someone who is not going to challenge?
So a report commissioned by Sadiq Khan, a remainer, finds UK/London worse off as a result of Brexit….hmmm.
If you read the report, it try’s to take into consideration the “Pandemic”, but it doesn’t take into consideration the Ukraine war. It doesn’t take into consideration the change of social/work practices since Covid - working from home, drinking at home, it may also not take into consideration the improvements in technology, like Retail chains moving towards self checkouts and AI.
The US reported 820,000 fewer jobs than predicted from 2023 - 2024. Was that as a result of Brexit? Have you questioned how the results compare across European trend? Hows Germany doing in comparison to its trend pre Brexit? They also seem to be suffering from a shortage of skilled workers.
So 8 years after the referendum, 3 years after Brexit, the EU is relying on London to help them out? Even changing their own guidelines to do so…. So the report suggests they are still trying to move clearing to the EU. So, does that suggest the scaremongering from Junker and the EU regarding companies moving from London may have been just that?
I mean, people are being critical of the UK and how slow it has been to implement Trade agreements, etc. Yet, the EU are still relying on the UK Banks?
My understanding was that as a result of Brexit London’s financial sector was going to see a mass exodus, everyone relocating to Amsterdam…however, it appears we are competing with NY for number one spot.