There is a high likelihood that Trump will be reelected. Biden’s down in the polls, his attempts at bipartisan cooperation have failed and his weaknesses are becoming ever more apparent.
It’s like the end of the Roman republic.
I think this, right here, is the moment I gave up hope for the US republic. This is cargo cult levels of delusion.
America needs to hurry the fuck up and get Trump convicted.
The Biden agenda with the two main spending bills has broad public support. The one on infrastructure will pass right away if voted on. Progressives are tying it to the larger social spending bill, which is being negotiated and pared back in order to keep the Dem caucus together. Still a very large bill, with lots in it that many people will like… waiting to see if it will be agreed and then voted upon.
IF it happens it will give Biden a boost, as people will notice some of the contents in their paychecks and their lives. If it does not, he’s dead in the water.
As for Trump, he seems to get stronger and stronger out of office, as the cult of Trump and the Big Lie takes over the Republican Party.
Everything he did for Jan 6th needs to come out into the open, so the public can see, and he can hopefully be prosecuted. I’m not holding my breath that it will happen, or will happen in time.
He has spent his whole life going through the courts. He is a master at ducking and diving, avoiding scrutiny, avoiding punishment. His whole life has told us that, and I’m afraid the slow-moving justice department won’t be able to take him down before he is elected again.
I am watching with interest, and incredulity, as is the whole world.
I find it scary as they look like normal people… Men, women, on the athletic side I grant you, but largely normal looking…
While we’re laughing at them, the really dangerous people are planning to take over the country and turn it into a dictatorship.
If Trump gets back into the White House he’ll never leave and that will be the end of any semblance of democracy in the US.
The axis of evil
This is the first evidence that Trumpism without Trump can work. Virginia is a strange place politically and Younkin navigated that by running a Trump like campaign while being very careful not get tied to Trump the person.
The whole camping though is a damning indictment of the US mainstream press. Younkin’s campaign found a niche focusing on parental say in school curricula. The main point of focus was on opposing the teaching of Critical Race Theory (CRT) in schools and pledged to ban it on day 1. CRT is not taught in schools though. This is always a real issue for parents, but they found a made up bogeyman and leaned on it and just got a completely free pass from the press. I saw more clear unambiguous statements from them in the hour after the polls closed yesterday that I saw in the last month.
yes, but his strict adherence to his preferred diet will insure that he will likely move to a higher plane of existence soon enough -unfortunately, there is always Sarah Palin and the more recent incarnation Marjorie Taylor Greene waiting in the wings…
yes, you are right, we are doomed!
Isn’t this just standard election results though? Turnout was probably significantly lower than a Presidential race and the people most motivated to vote are those who oppose the current party of power - or most often the party of the President.
I feel like all elections between Presidential ones end up giving the party of power a good kicking. Then political commentators shape narratives around it based on their own beliefs for “what it means”.
Is it good that we have a section of the electorate that will vote because of made-up non-issues like Critical Race Theory? No. Does it mean there has been a fundamental shift in America since this time last year? I doubt it.
Not quite - odd year elections are relatively limited in number, and while you are not wrong, one year in is unusual to be seeing the disappointment/rejection effect that characterizes midterm elections. It is a very bad omen for Democrats a year from now. It suggests the high level of voter engagement that Biden needed to win might be very difficult to deliver next October.
I do think there was a bit more noise around the last Presidential election to factor in as well. I don’t remember too many people being excited to have a Biden Presidency, they were just determined to not have another Trump one. The record voting numbers probably gave a false impression of enthusiastic support.
So I suppose my point is that I think we aren’t so much seeing disappointment/rejection kicking in really early (although Sinema and Manchin are doing their best to encourage it) but more so that we are seeing less vociferous resistance to Trump/QAnon etc. because they aren’t as obviously in power anymore.
But anyway, now I’m guilty of building the same narratives that I accuse other people of. I don’t know why the results swung so much in Virginia but I think it isn’t as abnormal as people are making it out to be.
But consistent in Virginia and there have a consistent recent history of going opposite the incumbent president. Other than McAuliff in 14 you’ve got to go back a LONG time to find virginia elect a governor in the same party as the sitting president.
Track record of Democrats getting re-elected in NJ isn’t great either.
Yeah, wouldn’t read too much into yesterday. Having said that, Democrats may be positioned for a significant defeat in next year’s congressional election. Remember they lost House seats in a year when the won the presidency. Almost never happens. Combine Biden’s lowered approval rating with the history of the incumbent president’s party often losing significant seats two years later, and it begins to look a bit grim for them.
Will it even happen though ? The DOJ has already said that it isn’t interested in pursuing political vendettas. (Which is how it would inevitably be characterised , and would serve to further amplify his persecution claims.)
That leaves the investigation into his business in NY , where it looks like his CFO is going to take the fall for him , and , more likely , the election interference investigation in Georgia. There is enough prima facie evidence there to charge him tomorrow , but no indication it’s actually going to happen.
You’re right though , as long as he’s out there doing what he’s doing , he remains a clear and present danger to the entire democratic process.
Someone needs to grow some balls and charge the fucker now.
if you’re looking for indicators of how this election will affect 2022 and 24 I think the biggest is the way the press handled the Younkin campaign (pathetically credulous over the authenticity of the fabricated concerns being raised by the candidates and campaign). I think the best thing you can say for the Dems’ prospects is the play book and how it will be treated by the press is pretty obvious and so they’ve got a bit of time to develop an approach for countering it better and providing effective counter messaging.
Interesting that the Alfa Bank issue appears to now be back in play as a result of Trump’s own Durham investigation. In trying to discredit the guy who brought that info to their attention they’ve actually solidified the legitimacy of the link and provided an explanation for why this disappeared without explanation during the Mueller investigation (it’s an ongoing counter intelligence issue).
Yeah , agree with that. (the alfa bank bit). It’s never going to result in a charge though;
TWEP time