No further transfers announced overnight and Transfermarkt haven’t changed any valuations, so I will officially declare @Iftikhar the first winner of the Michael Edwards Trophy:
Congratulations to him and thank you to everyone who entered. I hope to run this competition again next summer, although we’ll probably need another name if the rumours of Mikey’s departure are to be believed…
If I could make a suggestion for the next incarnation, are there any sites that quote the full value of a transfer?
It was quite frustrating at times to be close to the pin on a transfer, only for transfermarkt to only record the up-front portion of the fee and so lose out.
We’re basing our guesstimates on what we think is fair market value for a player, not on what we think a buying club will commit to initially.
I don’t know if there is a way to dock points for all the transfers people pick that don’t happen. I didn’t pick 10 because I thought business would be slow, but that was wrong approach lol. Might be a hard one to do.
I do think it would be fair to penalize people for wrong picks - that would make us work to accurately predict who would actually leave. Scoring would be something like 1 point for every correct pick minus 1 point for every incorrect pick. So then if I pick 6 players to go, and only for of them leave, my score would be 4 - 2 = 2.