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Surely?
I’ve been bitten once….Plus I’m yet to see us win on an illegal stream.
What is overly predictable and I’ll put it here because you can quote me.
Someone will smash someone this weekend and they will be treated as champions already and by about Feb they will be 8/9
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Goes and sticks on an Acca 
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Welcome home Sweetie 
I’ve really missed your incomprehensible, but mesmerisingly beautiful graphics.
I hope you stick around 
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Spurs, I reckon. 5 or 6 nil.
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The model will improve as the season goes on and I can input data from this season but it doesn’t look a million miles off using what I have (last season’s data)
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Do you get data from Opta or somewhere?
(Sorry, about to turn into stats nerd mode)
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To hopefully make ot slightly more comprehensible - home team projected goals is shown vertically on the left. Away team horizontally across the top.
So Leeds v Everton top three likrly results are 12.54% chance of finishing 1-1. 10.65% chance of finishing 1-0 to Leeds and 8.99% of 1-0 Everton.
However you also sum all of the results to give a home/draw/away win % so even though 1-1 is the mostly likely score Leeds are slight favorites (41.86%) to win.
The draw back of my methodology is it is pretty conservative in predicting goals so it produces a lot of low scores draws but also it makes sense as it is more likely to score one than two since you have to score one in order to score two. I focus more on the win% than the scoreline% though.
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Yes, its Opta data that I then add some modifications to for impact of age and to lessen overresults from playing in lesser leagues.
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Is this the “trying to annually comply with PSR” derby?
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Welcome back @Sweeting
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Do Villa plan on having a shot today or…?
They could do with a shot of something at half time. Newcastle have dominated them.
I can but I’ve got kids so I’m often not available to update it between the lineup being announced and kickoff.
For this Villa-Newcastle game though the lineups changed to projection to the below
So a slightly increased chance of a Newcastle win
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Great defending by Burn there.
For Villa
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