Russian War Crimes (Part 1)

Nice catch !!!

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Absolutely and armour used correctly can be very effective in an urban environment but it is very much a combined arms assault that relies on excellent communication. However facing technicals in Syria is very different to facing a conventional force that uses almost the exact same doctrine. In Chechnya, the opposing forces were for the most part actually in the Soviet armed forces at some point and knew exactly what the armour would try to do and how to dismantle armored columns in an urban setting and did so to devastating effect. The Ukrainians will know what Russian armour is going to try and achieve and if the Russians are stupid enough to try and do it without sufficient infantry screening they’re headed for a world of hurt. It will naturally take a heavy toll on the defenders as well, unfortunately.

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This is the type of Russian disinformation you are going to see a lot of.
I doubt these are Ukrainians:

This is from the NLAW scene earlier (thanks UK):
As he says, viewer discretion. Much such raw footage contains burnt bodies naturally:

A Ukrainian piece of armour on fire:

https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1497604057736826888

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We saw the large column above 30 km from Kyiv.
This one:

Probably the best Molotov cocktails in the world.

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It’s typically Russian, yes it could be a guess but Russia has allways gone about wars like this. They rely on their numbers (heavily) and are then shocked when the opposition doesn’t run away. They have always lacked raw materials it’s not that they are incompetent they are just arrogant. Look at WWII where they relied on USA.
I wonder if they have ever been able to sustain a war effort all by themselves?
The thing is here is if Ukraine hold out another 2 or 3 days they will be forced into taking the whole country whatever their initial plans were. This is because all the heros and martyrs they will have created amongst the Ukrainian forces will inspire others and particularly those to the west to take up arms and arms will pour in.
If/when they take Ukraine they will then have a massive problem with Slovakia from where the resistances’ arms will come from. This puts us in the historical European telescope where the Slavs once more become the savoirs of western Europe (the question is will western Europe help them this time if this scenario plays out?)

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If Carlsberg did Molotov Cocktails….

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I think that is my point, they will have to stay in the west imo which puts them in confrontation with the Slavs.

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Apparently they were in Kyev stole into the Zoo and got kicked out.

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… and he will still lose imo

I don’t think China invests a lot on intel assets in western Russia at the level that was relevant. They would presumably have seen the troop build-ups too, but a lot of the case that the US was making to say it was not a bluff were the secondary indicators like logistics and hospital units rolling into place.

What is the status on the western front? It’s very important that Ukraine keeps that front/border to ensure precious little supplies can come in.

Kyiv should have made more of their city pedestrianised. Russian tanks would have been useless.

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Surely that is only true down a massively wide Avenue, like Champs Elysee, which seems to be what the Russians are trying to do. Thing is they can be ambushed and the pack dessimated, surely?

The interesting thing in Western circles right now is the suggestion that the age of the tank might just be done. Russians haven’t lost many tanks to tank-tank, air-tank or even ATG-tank combat, it’s all handheld AT missiles. NATO doctrine says you can trade those at something like a 20:1 miss:kill rate quite happily, and it would appear we are seeing a much more lethal ratio than that.

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Just got a message from Evgenya, one of my Russian friends I came to know as a student. She is completely horrified. She is a Russian from Uzbekhistan, so very social conservative(was horrified how welcoming to Gay culture we were in Norway I remember, I some difficult conversations with her about such matters). She wrote me she was completely horrified and ashamed for Putin (she isn’t the type who would be “against the state”). Just talked to her now. This war is truly unpopular in Russia.
Also just talked to my friend Odd Egil. He works directing ships. He has a lot of Russians on his boats. He was telling me they were horrified, not one of those he talked to supported this. Everyone saw through the false flags. Russians don’t think there was a proper cause for war !

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What’s happened to Ukraine’s stand off missile capability. I Google it to see what they hve and they have the Tochka-U missiles. A little more digging and they should have an inventory of approaching 100. They’ve also recently developed a land based anti-ship missile that can be used for land attack. Have all the capabilities been neutralized completely? Find it odd they haven’t been slung at the Russians. Even the Houthi’s have done serious damage with a Tochka.

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Amazing - Modi apparently just raised the issue of helping Indian students gtfo of Ukraine on a call with Zelenskiy, less than 24 hours after Modi declined to condemn the Russian aggression that has put them in danger. He actually asked for Ukrainian help. I have no idea why the Ukrainian state would lift a finger to provide assistance they cannot actually provide their own citizens. Probably for the best that Zelenksiy is a comedian, so probably very good at keeping a straight face.

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Yup. One of the big reasons we only saw tech updates to the abrams and not a full model overhaul. You basically use tanks to assault large plots of lands quickly and destructively and then begin cordon operations outside major population centers. The “mega city” doctrine (the next major force v force battlefield) doesn’t heavily involve tanks in western doctrine. Good reason why as you stated

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