I don’t know why this is so difficult.
I think ‘concerned enough to spend £50m’ is the wrong way of looking at it.
I think the club are continually monitoring the performance and transfer situation of dozens, if not hundreds of players, that are on the shortlist. They will know, through their analysis which of them represent an upgrade on what we already have. When it looks as though a player we have an interest in and upgrades us is available, we can move.
That’s what happened with Diaz (who was on the verge of a move to Spurs), Gakpo and Nunez, also (although less successfully) with Tchouameni, Caicedo and Zubimendi.
Zubimendi is a case in point here. The lad had resisted offers from a few clubs, but from somewhere we got the idea that he might be available. He is a player we like and think upgrades the squad. And we almost got him - save a last minute change of heart after an emotional club intervention.
That doesn’t mean three weeks ago we thought our midfield was shit and we just keep working down a shortlist until we land one. I mean, sure, there are number sixes available - Utd have just signed Ugarte - but that doesn’t mean we should have signed him.
The club still obviously think Mac, Grav, Jones and Endo are a good pool for the double pivot, and there are other options there as well.
Ian Graham has cited seven reasons why transfers fail, of which the top three are
- Current player is better than the new player
- The player is not as good as first thought
- The player does not fit the style of the team
Liverpool cannot afford the 50% failure rate that most transfers come with. Even if you are 90% sure on all Graham’s seven criteria, that still accumulates to a 48% success rate. So we will not move on players until we are certain on all of them. That’s how we’ve had such success in recent years with transfers.
If we were operating on a level playing field then maybe the club could take a few more risks, but honestly if we start taking a speculative approach to transfers then City are jumping for joy. What ever we speculate they can speculate more. We have to aggressively get that transfer success rate to as close to 100% as we can, even if that means we are more cautious in the market than fans would like. That’s the only way we can compete.