I could relate most of saga of Ansar Allah and it’s campaign before and after Trump with high accuracy; but that would be a bit too time consuming.
But yes, in very short, like the NyTimes article states, it is about money and Cost-Benefit. Trump loves big booms but loves money more. He ordered the use of very limited and extremely expensive US assets designed for combat against Peer Foes, with an astronomical price tag attached to it, when muuuuuuch cheaper weapons could have achieved the same results).
Long before Trump started his campaign, when Biden did it and got Sunak to join, experts told them (and I also wrote this here on this forum) that you would not get Ansar Allah to cease firing unless one stopped the Gaza campaign, simply because Ansar Allah had everything to gain and little to lose in continuing it.
Who now remembers that Ansar Allah is not Yemen ?
The fact of the matter is that Trump has won, a very limited victory. Ansar Allah has agreed to no longer target international shipping (thank you US), but are allowed to still target ISR with repercussions only from ISR (guess which government is not overjoyed).
Trump was warned by CIA analysts that Ansar Allah would not simply fold despite overwhelming destruction (kind of limited with good targets in Yemen anyway). He still chose the mega expensive strike packages, targeting Ansar Allah; a Jihadist movement that embraces martyrdom and has survived several years of air campaign by KSA and the Emirates.
It’s fucking funny, except for the dead Yemenis. Ansar Allah can thank the US and Israel for being the legitimate (such as that is) rulers of Yemen these days.
For Ansar Allah, it has always been about image building and legitimacy. Easiest way to do so, getting bombed by the Great Powers and hitting Israel (they were at the fore front of the news, and have been ever since they joined Hamas).
In the Holy Kingdom of Bone Saw, they are preparing for US meeting with Al Shaara. MAGA ought to have an epileptic stroke, that their hero is meeting the ISIS-Al Qaida-Tharir al Sham-now Syrian President, given how much they have attacked France over it.
But we all know it doesn’t matter. When Trump does something, it’s all good.
It’s up to Trump to circumvent the mad man. At least he is pissed off at Netanyahu (who also said yesterday that “Israel must be prepared to detox from the US”, after reports of a rift between him and the ISR government).
The only real hope here (apart from the scenario where Hamas capitulates, which I don’t see happening) for a “faster resolution”, is that Trump hates to be manipulated, and he views ISRs gov to have manipulated him previously on several occations.
Not much of a hope, but Trump is an unpredictable desperado and probably the only president that can break with ISR (because of his cult-like fan base that will ride with him into any sunset). If Qatar and KSA bribes him enough, who knows.
The PKK disbanded officially (I have written about those intentions previously, but today was the day).
Not everyone Turk is happy:
Example, this Turkish documentary film maker: https://x.com/AvarBanu/status/1921973339809075413
What about creating an own thread for Israel’s cruel campaign in Gaza, as well as the entire saga of it ? I am not suggesting to move posts, but perhaps from now on we should post about Gaza in another ear-marked thread ?
The reason for my suggestion, is that I think that what is happening in Gaza is so important, but it risks being drowned in other very important events in the Middle East. Because a lot is happening there, some of it monumental.
It is just a suggestion, you moderators are the law.
But the last days we have seen the PKK disband after 47 years, monumental news from Syria and there will soon be lots of stories about the negotiations with Iran. There is a flood of events. Sure, many involve Israel, but few of them involve the Palestinians.
My suggestion to a new thread is the “Israeli-Palestinian Conflict”; which could encompass also then the history.
Nods, it’s just a suggestion so that it doesn’t get lost in the flood of other events. I respect all opinions, just tried to be constructive. If people don’t want an own more focused thread on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the history of it; that is fair.
I’ll be honest, I actually thought of you. You mostly post just about Gaza. I didn’t realise you then were opposed to it. If you are, then I think your opinion carry a lot of weight.
For me, it is not important, I was merely thinking of others.
You see, sometimes I feel bad posting about monumental events, such as those we see in Syria as an example; when it is in between important stories about for instance Gaza. But I suppose that is just my worry about how other people feel.
