Meanwhile the Dow is down 700 points and oil has shot up 8%. His hand-waving doesn’t distract from the basic facts - Iran may be a threat, but overall that regime has been fairly measured in recent years. Very few countries would say that about either Israel or the US these days.
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I am at a loss to think of any successful effort at regime change that has been done with air strikes. That sort of video-game folly is normally the exclusive province of the Americans, and it has rarely accomplished anything.
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There is no appetite in the West for anything like that. The only US ally that would even remotely consider it might be the UK, and I don’t have any sense that the Labour government wants to go out on that kind of limb.
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Interesting read
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I agree with this:
https://x.com/NotWoofers/status/1933551853603803582
That they have not been able to mount serious resistance yet should be alarming for Iran.
https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/1933538094864638432
https://x.com/farnazfassihi/status/1933553339083768101
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1933557937839931891
https://x.com/shashj/status/1933561853805764663
https://x.com/ArmsControlWonk/status/1933565216584818792
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Oh an by the way, regarding Armenia and Azerbadjan.
https://x.com/NeilPHauer/status/1933507046625710450
https://x.com/NeilPHauer/status/1933507525066043622
As for opportunities for Russia
https://x.com/ABarbashin/status/1933553537264349573
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https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1933556614461563178
I have the same sentiments as Dr. Lewis regarding these commanders
https://x.com/ArmsControlWonk/status/1933563205395362079
https://x.com/ArmsControlWonk/status/1933515761299173519
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On a separate note, apparently the Gulf countries knew about the attack (through USA), and didn’t try to deter Israel or warn Iran. Do they really expect Iran to capitulate? Hamas is still standing after nearly two years of far more devastating strikes. And if Iran does not capitulate, do they understand the consequences?
Interesting Israeli reports.
https://x.com/ori_rabinowitz/status/1933567494536769712
https://x.com/ori_rabinowitz/status/1933572908502429795
https://x.com/michaelh992/status/1933572259471573422
They’ve been decimated. Not so notable anymore.
I do think that Israelis have had noticable support on Iranian Soil. Some of what they’re pulling up going by magnus and other reports would be nigh on impossible were it not for the support on ground.
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1933567828927398271
https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/1933570513017741411
This is interesting
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Iran reported to be launching now but many of their ballistic missiles are detonating on launchers instead of taking off.
Some rumours of an Israeli jet having been downed, but rumours.
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They have struck a lot of facilities, but I doubt there’s any considerable damage. The main gain must be the decapitation of the military leadership.
Doubt that. Iranian Airforce and air-defence system isn’t capable of downing even the F16s. They probably downed some drones which is still significant.
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