The Middle East Thread

That’s a ruse, you know that right!

Arabs don’t just want the spiritual threat removed, they don’t want nonsense like democracy or political pluralism either. It worse than the mad Mullahs,

The West don’t just want the military threat removed, they want to move in and strengthen their grip in the strategic location.

They want another Egypt, or Jordan. But a Yemen/Sudan/Libya/Syria like civil war is what they should get,

The nuclear program is not a ruse. The nature of the Islamic Republic and it’s revolutionary nature and fundamental hostility towards Geopolitical Big Boys; makes Iran one of the least likely candidates with getting away with rushing for the bomb (if Khamenei had so decided).

But if you are asking what many powerful actors wants, then sure, they want the Islamic Republic gone, but vast majority doesn’t believe it can happen like this. But the nuclear program is hardly a ruse. I don’t entirely understand why you think it is so.

Anyway. As I was previously saying
https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1934615967541465474

https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1934705744299086325

https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1934706879755599905

Do you know Da Empoli? The Hour of the Predator?

An interesting read, I just finished it. In that book he says that, confronted with what he calls Borgia-types emerging everywhere ( people ready to do anything to get more power, influence and money, like the Borgias in the past, ie. Putin, Trump, Netanyahu, Xi and many others ), we have the signal that the post-ww2 era , based on a reciprocal menace of hit-back by nuclear weapons, and which allowed the international law to settle in, at least in part, is over.

He sustains the theory that new techniques are allowing cheap, but effective attacks of all kinds, for instance on infrastructure, electrical systems, disinformation through the big social media etc. All domains which are difficult and expensive to defend, but easy to attack. Everything we’ve seen for instance Russia using very effectively in the past decade against in theory stronger opponents, like the US or Europe.

And you have also what he calls the ‘techno-conquistadors’, the Musks, Bezos, Altmans, who have now allied themselves with the Borgias, and who are looking for monopolistic world domination through their techniques, each in their specific domain.

For these people, we are at best consumers who are on the best way to be enslaved to their products, and at worst cannon fodder.

Faced with all this, we are like the Aztecs in front of Cortez and his gang: we passively watch on as they prepare our downfall and enslavement. Because we know no answer to their aggression.

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https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1934730308982800675

Meanwhile, those of us who don’t resort to empiricism, may take this seriously
https://x.com/A_M_R_M1/status/1934705509728448946

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I had not heard of the book, to be honest. I am reading Knausgard right now, but I should check out your suggestion :slight_smile:

US seems to have made a decision now (I reported tanker flights yesterday) to make sure the nuclear program is truly destroyed.
https://x.com/NotWoofers/status/1934742676173410640

B 2 bombers also ready (they were moved 2-3 weeks ago into positions).

If so, then Netanyahu’s gamble that US would feel forcedd to join if he initited, seems to have payed off.

https://x.com/TheStalwart/status/1934746136373317783
https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/1934745027307294796

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1934747681181852057

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I can only recommend it. Someone as interested in geopolitics as you can only love it. You’ll tell me what you think of it once you’ve read it. :smiley:

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Deal !

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https://x.com/no_itsmyturn/status/1934750445832163639

As for Iran, they have launched a whooping 15 missiles today while claiming to fire the largest barrage ever of 2K missiles. Baghdad Bob time or they are about to launch big time (if capable).
https://x.com/vcdgf555/status/1934769682898358526
Iranians have launched.
Assessing impacts (some have hit)

Iran has launched what looks like an IRBM or even an ICBM.
https://x.com/intelFromBrian/status/1934773462033420713

https://x.com/mhmiranusa/status/1934791793956250069
https://x.com/NotWoofers/status/1934795828822200609
Probably why Trump was called to the situation room.

I just don’t know what to think anymore, let alone say. All this shit will surely have far reaching consequences.
Trump has created chaos in the world because he can not communicate diplomatically and is so easily manipulated.

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Information has become an improbable commodity. Even if you get a bit of authentic information, it’s just some fragmented shard.

Last night I was watching DW, and the reporter covering some Tel Aviv openly said that they are encouraged, to the point forced, to cover the sites of civilian destructions but the strategic (not just military) sites are totally off-limits.

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Meanwhile…

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Will this never come to an end?..

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Just pure evil is all I can say

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Not as long as Trump and Netanyahu are calling the shots.

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