Yeah…
3 Likes
It is absolutely mind-boggling that the Russians have been hit hard by an offensive plan that exactly mirrors a historical example that is presumably taught from time to time in their staff colleges
5 Likes
I would think a reasonable chance. The Russians are not going to get significant reinforcements there that way, not in formations that can move independently anyway. I will bet those helicopters are as full leaving as they are arriving.
Not Geroman though, https://twitter.com/GeromanAT?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author, he just went on telegram and started to post imaginary fairy tale stuff about how this was an artillery trap for the Ukrainians and how this is a ruse that could destroy the Ukrainian army with saturation bombings.
1 Like
Another Russian mil blogger:
2 Likes
wouldn’t that be something though. Rocky getting rope-a-dope’d by Ivan Drago
1 Like
2 Likes
1 Like
Listen to our friend the Serb, how positive he sounds 
The RU command seems indeed in panic mode, sending in , like Girkin and those other Rus mil bloggers have said, piece meal troops to block the gap…
1 Like
Ukraine seems to have launched an attack from its lines south of Izum
1 Like
Good map since Military land also shows pockets and encirclements unlike many others
Open to enlarge map
3 Likes
1 Like
You can imagine the Americans etc tracking those redeployments to the south and helping the UA choose the perfect time to counterattack in Kharkiv.
I’m always cautious that there isn’t a gotcha moment where Russia performs a massive counter attack but surely the allies are all over the troop movements behind the battle lines… Of course unless the weather is poor.
1 Like
Yeah, the attack is daring and it’s always dangerous to spear through like this, as you can of course be encircled by a counter attack. Let us hope that the enemy is in as disarray as it seems from reports.
It is stunningly similar to Frederick II in 1942. Southern attack sequenced exactly the same.
2 Likes
Indeed, the movements are the same. Of course, despite technology, strategic terrain remains the same and Izum is the same logistic hub today as in 1942, and Kupyang has the same railroad net 
But yeah, very remarkable ! 
Regarding bridges, @Arminius
More bridges to go.
3 Likes