But he will have a nice shiny prize from Sweden and he will be able to say he stopped it. To the victor goes the spoils and the right to write history.
Fify
Sorry you had to see this @Magnus

Seriously, I chuckled from your wit.
Oddly, since this peace deal proposal was announced the amount of Russian propaganda on my twitter feed has reduced by a huge amount!
Have the bots been put on standby mode?
Yes, I have ideas. Also some knowledge. But since it requires thought and research, as well as sourcing, I am having a couple of days off here ![]()
I wrote such a long post meticulously researched in response to RedoverWater direct question, in the UK thread and it was kind of shot down. But it representing not just the 30 min of writing the actual post, but hours of work, many, many months of research, following trends over years and thus contained more detailed information you would get in any newspaper article.
I just need a break from writing long posts, Hope. Because sourcing takes a lot of time. Time I could spend working, reading novels, play games, be with friends, etc. Itâs depressing and very demoralising when you feel itâs truly not appreciated by some, because someone without considering the effort that went into the post, decides it is OOT or whatever. So I would rather not answer this right now properly.
But in short, without very time consuming sourcing; I am pretty sure your source is wrong. Many researchers are in fact of the opinion that Russia cannot afford to stop the war and demobilise. Itâs has converted to War Economy, can absolutely afford to keep going at current pace into for another year at least (they recruit over 30-35k soldiers a month and have no problems getting enough recruits at current) . But it takes a lot of time to explain this properly. I would advise you to read the Meduza article I just posted, as it explains this some.
Have a nice evening ! ![]()
Just super quickly because it might not be obvious to everyone. When people speak of the âcurrent pace of the warâ, that means current and refers to the nature and cost of current attritional warfare. That pace would have been very different with dramatically increased aid previously (as well as more mobilisation in UKR).
The problem is that the war went into an Attritional Phase in 2023 and nothing has been done to counter weight it by the West. Ukraine, mathematically speaking, cannot win an attritional war and Ru can keep up current pace for a couple of years more (sure, big economic headache when the war ends, but they think itâs more than worth it, and they might be right).
What the West needed to do, is aid Ukraine in such a manner, that the war didnât go into an Attritional Phase, or went out of it. But that does not seem to be happening.
The US position is so completely incoherent and inconsistent that itâs impossible to know what will happen next. Poor Ukraine, with itâs allies weak and divided, itâs most important partner ruled by an idiot with the attention span of a toddler, and itâs opponent a vastly larger country ruled by a sadistic dictator who cares not how many soldiers he loses.
Who can say which way the US will turn next? They seem to be making up policy on an hourly basis, based on Trumpâs crush on Putin, desire to be seen as a peacemaker, and whatever heâs just seen on Fox News. Itâs a pathetic way to run the foreign policy of the most powerful nation on earth.
I wonder would you say the same think vis a vis China and a possible war with Taiwan and subsequent further annexation into parts of Asia? I know Singapore is a long way from China, but one could imagine an emboldened China looking to exert significant influence in the region in a way that could be frightening for Singaporeans.
I know the optics is that China will go into a war but the reality in this region is that we feel that it will take alot, and I mean alot for China to resort to military actions regarding to Taiwan. Not that they wonât if they get triggered beyond no return but they are not as war-happy as many other nations in this world.
China is economic driven beyond all the optics of might, and they will use economy as their main weapon so why would they get into a war that not only will cripple the China economy and fall into the trap of allowing the west to have a legitimate reason to take military action on China.
Having said that itâs a thin line. The stance on China and Taiwan is divided amongst people. The status quo is actually what most people want even the Taiwanese I worked with. Having peace and without having to be part of China is good enough for them, there is no need to agitate for official independence. My personal take is Taiwan has the right to decide their own fate.
And for the rest of SEA, I am very sure that if China decides to come and invade us, we will fight. I am Chinese but I am certainly Singaporean first.
Russia has shown that that will not happen.
Iâm more curious about the potential for a China/Russia tete-a-tete.
Gerasimov says they have taken Pokrovsk.
It would be funny if it wasnât true ![]()
Then:
Now:
Essentially true.
https://x.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1997686585241096332
From yesterday
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1996850508192272442
https://x.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1997697027573215269
All of the grey is under Russian boots (Deepstate has long delay for Op Sec reasons), but general Syrksky still has not given the order to retreat from Myrnohrad. What I have been watching for months is crazy.
The military strategy (and tactics) involved by Ukrainian high command is political in nature and was enforced by the likes of Yermak through Syrksy and other Yes-men, to mollify the not so clever president (who does not understand military realities and prioritises holding towns and cities for as long as humanly possible, hoping for miracles that just cannot materialise). UA needed to retreat more than a month ago, while it would have been possible without very large losses.
FPV drones means that any orderly retreat now will be a massacre as Russians fully control the skies with observation drones.
So they learned nothing from Bakhmut then. ![]()
Or Avdiivka, which was maybe worse in terms of withdrawing after encirclement was a fact.


