Long term we both want a functioning system. Iāve no argument with that. That isnāt the disagreement.
Itās the quoted part that is the problem, and I hate to say it but three or four people have tried to explain it to you and you just donāt seem to get it.
It isnāt a matter of āacceptingā Asylum Seekers. There are no legal routes for most asylum seekers. They arrive on small boats and the back of lorries. We donāt have much control of this. In accordance with international law we have to grant them leave to remain until their asylum claim is heard.
You imagined a situation where Asylum Seekers get here and choose to go off into criminal gangs, or a lavished with benefits and access to services. They donāt. They get put in squalid hotels and the ones that disappear are trafficked.
The reason why the backlog is so great is that the Tories simply stopped processing claims. We canāt just stop people coming.
Your proposal is we stop āaccepting themā. What should we do? Break international law? Call in the navy, sink the dingies and watch them drown?
Itās helpful to remember 1.2M migrate to the UK every year. More than the population of Edinburgh and Glasgow combined.
Yet for the last 15 years, we have had austerity, with cuts to services. It is a recipe for disaster.
Blaming asylum seekers and illegal migrants is like blaming a leaky faucet for your house flooding, all the while you have left the tap running for your bath tub.
Itās a diversion tactic by the government. That not to say a leaky faucet is not a problem that needs fixing. However even if you get a plumber round to fix it, youāre still going to have wet feet.
Migrants are generally a good thing for the UK, however it is prudent that this is managed. Taking the worldās best. This can be balanced taking in asylum seekers where there is a moral obligation.
You are correct, but the underlying message I am conveying is still the same.
Itās like a conversation of net spend vs gross spend on transfers.
Instead of it being population of Glasgow and Edinburgh. Itās just one of those cities net. Both cities gross. Itās important to understand both.
However I would disagree with most migrants simply being temporary. The UK birth rate is currently 1.44. It needs to be 2.1 to be sustainable. Yet population has increased increase between 2011 and 2022 was 4.3M. Using you numbers above (for the last year) itās likely to be even higher.
Thatās what I am conveying. Population is increasing during a time of cuts. Itās wrong to blame asylum seekers/illegal migrants when it is driven by legal migration.
Eyeballing it roughly suggests 300k per year from 2013 to 2021, so thatās 2.4m, and another 1.2m over the next couple of years (primarily linked to HK and Ukraine I believe).
Iām not sure it can be much higher than any ONS population estimates. Either way, it all sounds terrifying Iām sure, except:
The gradient barely budges. The inflection point came around 2003, if there is one.
I donāt have access to the data off-hand, but I could look into it.
And ironically, given the demographic crisis you allude to with the birth rate, it probably is necessary to be importing this many people, likely to be younger, given the ageing population.
Just to let people know Iāve deleted the post from Klopptimist, as it links to one of the most vile Twitter accounts Iāve seen. Overt unashamed racism and antisemitism from a white supremacist fucknut.
I can only assume Klopptimist didnāt know what he was posting, but a reminder to everyone. Twitter is a cesspit. Please be careful what you repost.