Yeah. It’s also important to understand that the experience of polling today is absolutely unrecognizable from what people were able to do in 2008, or even 2012. The problem with leaning on historical trends in presidential elections is they are infrequent enough that to get enough data to see a trend you are combining data from landscapes that are entirely different that they should not be pooled together.
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Forget about all else, pollsters don’t keep their methodologies consistent between election cycles, so the idea that you can just replicate the bias from previous elections is extremely flawed. Unless you’re implying that they know what result they want to show and just add on a few percentage points one way or another.
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Bulkwark are reporting results of a poll that has seen shared with them that 1 in 3 Republican Haley primary voters (so ignoring Dems who voted in the GOP primary) plan to vote for Harris and nearly half will refuse to vote for Trump.
This is an example of the sort of data we’re seeing outside of regular polls that is far more encouraging for Harris than the polls themselves are currently showing. Haley got over 4 million votes in the primary. Even accounting for some of those being Dems, that would represent a number of defections that would make it impossible for Trump to win if this is true.
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That could be believable - Haley isn’t exactly an impressive candidate and it wouldn’t be that hard to imagine some of that vote she got being an anyone but Trump vote.
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Even by the high standards of American elections, this has to the most openly racist campaign of modern times.
For the last three or four weeks the Republicans have said literally nothing except “Illegal immigrants” as the cause of every problem in country - and that getting rid of immigrants is the answer to every problem.
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They’re killing the dogs
They’re killing the cats
They’re killing the geese
But he’s not a racist weirdo
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theres a cracking skit somewhere which is just trump speaking about plastic straws and he rambles on, but they soundtracked it to the seinfield tune…
everytime i hear him speak my mind just goes to the seinfield tune
EDIT; found it, fucking genius
Trump does a Seinfeld (The Paper Straw Routine) (youtube.com)
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https://x.com/Laurieluvsmolly/status/1844110578446631200
Is that because he cannot speak any other way or is he doing it on purpose so that his base voters can understand him?
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How have I never seen this!!
Classic.
From the comments:
George: So they’re banning straws now?
Jerry: BANNING STRAWS!
George: I’ll see ya, I gotta go warn Mr. Kruger, he was thinking of ordering a whole years worth of straws!
Kramer: You know my friend Bob Sacamano? He sells illegal straws down at Battery Park.
Jerry: Illegal straws, what are you talking about?
Kramer: Yeah they’re for elephants, huge straws. You take one sip and zoot zoot, your drink is gone.
Jerry: You’re gone alright.
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He probably started dumbing down his rhetoric because he knows his audience, and now I just think he just legitimately has mental health issues.
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I just think he’s a man child. I believe that is honestly his level and why he is so easily manipulated by anything shiny
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Probably just a misunderstanding. No way Weirdo would unethically meddle. He doesn’t even want a Federal abortion ban. Or Project 2025.
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https://x.com/FishFPS/status/1844505371320385850
This has sadly turned into a comedy show, i do feel really sorry for everyone affected in Florida but how can people be that stupid is beyond me tbh
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I’m bembarrassed for her.
Be interesting to see if the Obama battleground blitz will help Harris in the polls over the next week. She needs the help.
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