Presidential - no
Senate - maybe.
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its live here with Trump with a big leadā¦im not watching a news feed or opinion coverageā¦just a score ticker
im assuming the early Trump lead isnt indicative of how the whole race will turn out?
thats how i remember it from years past i thinkā¦
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Tbf, I respect the fuck out of this guy. He seems to know which counties received what percentage of the vote 2 elections ago, and the socio-economic reasons behind it. There must be thousands of counties in the USA.
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Generally yes as mail in ballots arent counted yet, its what Trump based his narrative on
Usually the rural counties are faster at counting/reporting too
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That moonshine makes you fast, boys!
Iām worried.
Cheer me up.
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We on top of CL and having a perfect season so farā¦ā¦
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Itās called the red mirage, it will slowly disappear step by step. Thatās what I read 
Itās always like this, breatheā¦ Itās close, as expected tbh
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Australia is far from the US
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Too little data in yet so donāt get caught up in the āTrump leadā. It isnāt. A lead it is just an artifact who counts their votes first.
Butā¦exit polls about Hispanic men is awful
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Australia now has Steakhouse Steak in McDonaldās which used to be only in the UK.
Congratulations
Lisa Blunt Rochester is a terrific name.
NBC announced that result immediately after discussing the likely failure of the Florida marijuana legalization amendment
Not politically
yes it isā¦
i mean, its not scandanaviaā¦but its not the USā¦
Just so I am clear: You take the popular vote for the state and you take the EC votes correct? That would be why Kornacki is comparing last electionās county percentage vs KHās county percentage? For those super close states, the % gain or loss for Trump or Dems vs last election even in their stronghold counties could help forecast the stateās result?
Yeah. The comparison to last time are to standardize for which counties have their vote counts inā¦itās about projecting how much likely vote is still out there not yet reported
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Concerned by stuff like this:
Donald Trump is the first GOP presidential candidate to win Floridaās Miami-Dade county since George HW Bush in 1988, the New York Times reports.
Analysts have been keeping a close eye on the county, which includes the city of Miami and was once a Democratic stronghold. Hillary Clinton won Miami-Dade by a 30-point margin in 2016, but the area has since moved right as Florida has transitioned from a swing state to a solidly red state. With 95% of votes in as of around 8.45pm, Trump had won 55% of the Miami-Dade vote compared with Harrisās 44%.
Joe Biden beat Trump by seven points in 2020J in the stateās most-populous county. Some pundits have said the Miami-Dade result could be a bellwether for Harrisās performance among Latino voters.
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