Jordan to become the launchpad for the ground invasion?
Not sure about Jordan really.
Me neither. But where are the airborne troops heading to?
Yes, they can do what the world’s most powerful force haven’t managed to do. Also, how many investors are going to return to Dubai, Abu Dhabi, etc. once they resemble like Beirut, Tehran after Iran’s retaliatory attacks.
Iran is currently attacking them, Ifthikar. Sooner or later they have to strike back as hard as they can if the option is there. No one agrees to be a victim for infinite periods of time. But sure, Iranian escalation is probably included in the calculus and I don’t know if this will even happen as everything is in flux anyway. I suspect they want to delay acting in the hope that Trump and Iran can agree to a deescalation. But if there is no deescalation in sight, I assume they will have to militarily intervene in some form or way, since inaction then might be worse for them
You have to consider two things.
- Yes, Iran is attacking but even now it’s very selective. At the first hint of any collusion, everything will be a fair game; business districts, powerplants, roads/infrastructures, telecommunication facilities. Emiratis/Arabs know that and that’s what keeping them sensible till now.
- Israelis are the most battle-hardened forces and they got bloody noses from Hamas, and Hezbollah. The battle experiences Emiratis/Arabs have are bombing Yemen. Surely they know how they will fare against an Iranian force.
Fuck Face is giving a ‘speech’ tonight. For those unable to bear to listen to him , this will be the gist of it , as per NYT ;
Trump speech: Mr. Trump was scheduled to deliver “an important update” on the war in a national address at 9 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday, said Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary. On Tuesday afternoon, Mr. Trump told reporters that he had achieved his primary goal of preventing Iran from developing a nuclear weapon, though there is no evidence that the United States or Israel has destroyed the country’s stockpile of near-bomb-grade fuel.
Regime change: Mr. Trump claimed in his morning post that “Iran’s New Regime President” had asked for a cease-fire, without saying who he was referring to. Iran’s president, Masoud Pezeshkian, has been in office for more than a year, while the Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khameini, is the son of the former Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. While many top leaders have been killed, there does not appear to be a new government in charge of Iran. Iran called Mr. Trump’s claim of a cease-fire request “false and baseless.”
Strait of Hormuz: An Iranian official emphasized on Wednesday that the United States would not regain access to the waterway, a crucial conduit for the world’s oil and gas supply, saying in a social media post: “The Strait of Hormuz will certainly reopen, but not for you."
NATO: Mr. Trump said he was considering pulling the United States out of NATO (even though the prick can’t because Biden had the sense to pass a law demanding two thirds Congressional approval first.) over the war with Iran. His comments, made in an interview with The Telegraph, plunged leaders in Europe — which has relied for decades on American military power — into another cycle of anxious deliberations, similar to when he mused last year about invading Greenland before ultimately backing off.
The madness goes on and on …
he’ll probably spend most the time talking about sharpie pens…
https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/2039414195670651292
Must be a bit embarrasing.
Only positive for us in Europe in the short and medium term if NATO breaks, is that there would no longer be a reason to employ this guy
https://x.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/2039408638331162678
It must be very difficult for a fighter pilot to shoot down a Shaheed. He can’t slow down enough to take a proper aim because he’ll stall. At best, he’ll have a few seconds to hit what is a very small target.
Helicopter gunships are far better suited for the job.
I’d probably do better with a hand-held catapult and sac of stones than your helicopter 
.
Anti aircraft guns are the best bet for drones.
Difficult, but for a highly trained pilot, not unreasonable to expect. Quick math, and obviously an over simplification:
- Shahed 136 - roughly 200km/hr = 55m/s
- F-15 - safe flying speed without stall warning, 450km/h, perhaps less? = 125m/s
- Effective range of F-15 20mm, roughly 3.5km
- From the engagement range of the gun at 3.5 km to safe engagement range call it 3km to keep 500m to avoid debris from a kill.
Thus from engagement range to final engagement before calling it off, the F-15 has 3km to engage at a closing rate of roughly 70m/s. At that rate, from time of maximum range to engage to aborting, the F-15 would have roughly 42 seconds to engage the target safely. This is a maximum estimation but life doesn’t work that way so let’s divide that by two and round down anyway. 20s engagement.
You guys are welcome to check my rather basic assessment but ja, I’d be avoiding my squadron commander for a while.
There’s a caveat. It’s not known if that Eagle was a legacy model or a newer one with an AESA radar. If it was the former, its radar would have problems even picking up the drone, the pilot would have had to shoot at it using his Mk1 eyeball and guesstimating the lead, WW2 style.