Possibly, although the timing is mid-election cycle for both Holyrood and Westminster so if she wanted to go now is the best time. I don’t think she wanted to be in the position of Angela Merkel, for example, where she was stuck in the job.
What would possess 15/16 year olds to do this 
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That’s a very Aussie activity, but balloons don’t zip about like flies. They slowly drift along waiting to be shot down by a pilot in the most sophisticated aeroplanes that mankind has yet managed to devise.
Wait, how do the two connect?
Said it years ago.
Wouldn’t be surprised to see her jump ship to Labour, then try to emulate Thatcher.
Self centred witch
Alienated herself from the female population for a start, making any potential referendum likely to fail
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I think that’s a massive assumption don’t you think?
EDIT: Went to look up whatever source I could quickly, looks like opinion polling for independence hasn’t changed much lately:
Not that there’s much useful polling, mind.
SECOND EDIT: I looked at the results of the YouGov poll and the past results, doesn’t seem to be a change (beyond the usual polling noise) in how women would vote either.
In what way?
Would her moving over to Labour increase Scotlands chances of gaining independence?
I was making the point that her ill considered support for the gender bill , and the grief she has been getting for it since , probably precipitated her resignation statement , which in turn means she won’t be the one leading the country (if it happens) to independence , the thing closest to her heart.
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Judging by the type of character I see in her, now she’s no longer the big cheese, she probably doesn’t give a toss about whether independence is gained.
Horrible self centred specimen of a person
She wants to be a version of the Iron Lady.
Shot herself in the foot in the SNP, wouldn’t be surprised to see her try to achieve it down another route.
She’s all about oneupmanship
In fairness, she has been subjected to vile abuse for years. I’m surprised that she has stuck the job out this long.
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I’d be surprised to see someone who has dedicated their entire political career to independence suddenly just not give a toss anymore.
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Poorly worded by me.
Replace not give a toss with no longer a priority
I think that makes sense, but only through the lens of Sturgeon viewing her ego as the priority, no?
I doubt you would be picking up much from the prison fiasco in a poll conducted before January. Wasn’t the reversal of the decision January 26? However, to the extent that you would, if I were examining this for the SNP, I would probably be wondering why from December 9 to January 26 we saw a 7% drop in polls that presumably use the same methodology. That is a massive swing.
I did think about that, which is why I looked into the polling details for the two polls prior.
There really isn’t a particular gender effect so to speak from a quick look, but unless i actually take a larger sample across all polls done historically to see if there’s a difference in voting intentions between different genders, then it’s quite hard to come to a conclusion.
I’d also note that the polls seem to have a rather large volatility in general, just look at all the YouGov polls in that screenshot, let alone historically.
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That seems to be a good dollop of wishful thinking.
What these commentators seem to forget is that most supporters of Scottish Independence come from a perspective of democracy rather than nationalism. The fact that the First Minister has essentially been forced out after years of misogynistic attacks isn’t going to sit well with many of those supporters.
The problem that the SNP has now is that they don’t have that many obvious candidates to take over. They do have some very good orators but I don’t know whether they have popular support in their party or support base.
Interesting times.
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I found the bits about the recent political controversies more interesting myself. I don’t think this was a forecast by the authour really. She says as much at the end.
I read it more as an obituary .
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