China - the irresistible rise

China’s superiority and global dominance in this space is decades in the making. I think even the most pro-Biden people would admit that the solar portions of the Build Back Better were positive in terms of domestic renewable capacity, but the wrong battle to fight in terms of trying to frame it as competing with China in the sector. They were just too far ahead with too much of a commitment for us to ever catch up outside of small niche angle (that I cannot think of).

A big portion of the push in China came from concern about foreigners’ perceptions of Bejing if they didnt address the air pollution issue prior to the 08 Olympics. Had the US responded then we might have made it competitive, but we’ve from the beginning had a political angle that did fucking stupid things to get in the way. You can go back to Regan spitefully and theatrically removing Carter’s solar panels from the white house as an illustration of how dumb things are here. But even going back to Obama’s first term there were still opportunities, but a high profile collapse of a government supported renewables company, largely in response to the explosion in US fracking advances at the time, turned into a political “scandal” (this is what liberal governments do with your tax money) that made government support of the industry a bit toxic even for Dems for the next decade

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I just saw that China has halted fertilizer exports.

I think the US is shielded a bit from this but India, Brazil and places like Ethiopia might get hit.

I thought Brazil and China were in cahoots with each other through BRICS?

Not just sheilded, I think the US will quickly become the worls biggest producer of fertilizer judging by the amount of B?S coming from Trump.

The US gets a lot from Canada I believe.

True. It looks like they’re hoarding to me but I need to look into it further.

They’re better insulated from Iran than many, having invested heavily in their energy infrastructure which is less reliant on oil. Plus they have decent reserves.

It gives me the impression that they’re seeing where things are going and preparing themselves for it.

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Let’s face it, China is winning by just sitting back and watching the US implode. It’s an easy and successful strategy.

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Wondering if @Magnus have any opinion on this? Will China strike Taiwan before the US’s midterm? And are their drones and army going to be effective?

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-stations-jets-turned-drones-bases-near-taiwan-strait-report-says-2026-03-27/

:man_shrugging:

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:man_shrugging: