Comes down to PA (2 million mail ins), MI (same), AZ, WI.
1 Like
Big pickup, it’s one of the first of the “over 270” states (ie. Biden didn’t need to win it but Trump did) on 538s Path to the White House.
Same 3 states in the rust belt as last time?
Are you on this side of the pond yet? Weird time to start a new life
Trump leading in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan 
Wisconsin is worrisome. The other two we won’t know until tomorrow or even Friday.
Trump’s fav now surely.
Don’t think we are going to see a Dem Treble tonight, split legislative chambers it looks. Another “fun” 4 years for us…
They haven’t started counting the mail in ballots yet.
Its actually really weird that they announce election day results and mail in ballots separately.
All three states have said they will not be announcing more results tonight. MI will need until the end of the week.
Conversely, it was the perfect time to get out of the UK.
1 Like
Actually, on the basis of what we see now , this was a worse night for Republican Senators than Trump. Trump as president with two Democratic chambers would be weird
Regardless of the final result, this is what Trump wanted, looking like the winner on the night, while everyone has to wait for mail in ballots.
1 Like
How is the new frying pan?
1 Like
Another four years of Trump 
Totally ruined my mood after last night’s win
I seem to be reading projection that Trump is the favourite now, or at least a very close one? With a few states not calling tonight, how will that affect the final result?
As it stands Biden needs 2 of MI, WI or PA. He is favoured to win all three and can withstand a polling error of 5% in MI & WI (the error for Florida).
Winning AZ makes this now probable for a narrow Biden win.
3 Likes
Trump is not the favorite now. It is just very close.
The mail votes trending blue will be important.
2 Likes
Don’t think Dems are going to pull off a senate majority but I could be wrong
Yeah, exactly. Looks like a narrow Biden win on paper. But it is too exciting and too close 