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For all the national focus on Florida every year it is now a solidly red state. In a stretch going back over 2 decades we’ve had only 2 men win statewide elections as Democrats here. That the state had become more red was the vibe I was increasingly getting in the Trump era and the covid changes in migration seem to have solidified that.
So, in true Florida fashion Im going to point to St Augustine now being completely under water, coming just 40 days after the opposite coast got flooded, and say God is a Democrat trying to purge the state Old Testament style.
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Shouldn’t this area be underwater anyway, looks to me like the sea is higher than the land. Ok there’s a little bank with trees on it but that’s not going to hold out on a windy day now is it?
Oh look, flooding in Florida…time to hit up the Federal government for the cash to pay for something that happens every year.
Minnesota should ask for Federal funds to cover clearing snow
[quote=“Limiescouse, post:8798, topic:905”]
“excellent chance now that Dems will have 50 Senate seats/control in hand heading into the GA runoff.”
…and if they do I think Herschel can kiss his nascent political career goodbye. No-one’s going to give a fuck about going out to vote for him if the Senate isn’t dependent on the result.
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We hadn’t even completed all our hurricane Ian debris clean up before this fucker hit us last night.
That dynamic exists on both sides, but if I had to put money that’s what I’d think as well.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/11/09/republicans-election-fraud-claims-midterms/
Not to mention, claims of voter fraud right before the 2020 run offs ended up spectacularly back firing.
I think you likely also have to factor in how scary the Dominion defamation suits are. If you are only doing it for a grift, putting yourself in the cross hairs of civil litigation that big is not the smart move.
I just found a longer snip, what a twat, but that is pretty much the world in which they would like to live in imo.
If the dating pool is full of guys who think like him, I can understand why more women are staying single tbh.
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Aww, that’s so romantic. Get married to help the GOP. 
I used to think these guys were just performative arseholes, but the performance has gone on long enough that the next generation like him and Kirk grew up watching it, couldnt see through the act and so adopted it as their real personality. We now have a generation of dipshits flocking to the industry to perpetuate it, but this time without the act. For people like him in media see people like MTG in elected office.
The difference between a guy like him and an incel is only that he found a woman who didnt run away quickly enough.
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Ridiculous how slowly some of the counting is going. California hasn’t reported 50% of its vote yet. Surely, they are aware there is machinery which can aid the process.
Nevada, Arizona also lagging, and they have key races to decide.
Boebert’s ahead now. 
That race likely to be recounted, though I can’t recall a recount ever changing the result.
What is the scoop on this district? The typical narrative is that these crazy candidates were only coming out of the sort of districts that were so safe that the primaries tend to be a race to the bottom in a way that promotes extremists. Without knowing too much about it, I assumed that for her to come out of it that it was probably a R+20 to 30 district, but it isnt. Looking at it historically it has been far more like a 55-45 type district…a reliable lean but close enough that a bad candidate could lose. That makes it difficult to piece together how she pulled it off in 2020 in the first place.
I know she got a big boost from Fox for her Beto stunt, but even with that you’d think with a popular GOP incumbent in place it would need to be a much more partisan district for that to take her to a win. I am probably just underplaying the amount of blood even the moderate GOP voter was baying for in 2020 that allowed an outlier result like this, but the fact we’re even this close now is hopefully an indication that the fever has broken on a critical group of GOP inclined voters (It onlyl took Obama was 10 years longer than Obama predicted).
Not really sure, but it might be something to do with the playbook you mentioned earlier. Colorado is not an open primary state, but unaffiliated voters may select either party’s ballot in the primary, just not both. Maybe Dems helped her oust the incumbent, thinking it would be an easier win. Just speculation.
The closeness of the result seems a surprise. From WSJ.
"No mainstream polling group ever surveyed voters in the race, a sign that it was not considered competitive. Voting results from the state’s primary races in June did not signal a tight race either: Mr. Frisch got 25,751 votes, roughly 42% of Democratic votes cast in that race.
A total of 130,808 Republicans voted in the state’s primary; Ms. Boebert claimed two of every three votes cast."
538 had Boebert’s chances of winning at 97%
I recall an Axios piece from a month or so ago identifying the risk. The conventional wisdom seems to be based on another case of the analysts only using the polls to bolster their existing narratives.
Lol, here it is and it’s a perfect encapsulation of the issue
https://www.axios.com/2022/10/04/lauren-boebert-tied-democrat-midterm-poll
In it
- The polling firm whose results we’re reporting on are renowned for being Colorado experts. We quote the president of said firm saying they believe their results, that had her under 50% put her at real risk of losing.
- National experts (“experts”) said the race was not competitive.
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$750 b on defense and $700 b on georgia elections