Russian War Crimes (Part 2)

It’s a bit surreal. You look at some sheep and then there is a couple of high speeds missiles just zooming ahead.
https://x.com/front_ukrainian/status/1859952972563968475

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https://x.com/KyivPost/status/1859955117207761283

But it’s new and it works well with cafe latte drinking people in the West who do not really follow the war or care much about it. The type of people who do not know that Russia has been using nuclear capable missiles against Ukraine for years now.
https://x.com/KyivPost/status/1859955117207761283

Give the Russians some respect , Budanov. After all, they know how newspapers and people with little knowledge reacts to new bling-bling.

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Lol…
https://x.com/prestonstew_/status/1859941991754441011

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Very green of them.

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Thanks Magnus!

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https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1859985927247908936

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I have questions too, but these chinese golf carts are more and more used.
https://x.com/moklasen/status/1860004746238857427

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Cheap?

Maybe those carts are useful for quick transportation of wounded… Don’t know just thinking out loud…

They’re very cheap. $5000

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@magnus thanks for the updates.

I had to disconnect for a bit while on holidays. I do suspect that Trump is going to push for Ukraine to surrender existing territory to Russia to stop the war, but we all know that Russia won’t stop advancing regardless, until they hit the Dnipro

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It is all but an open secret that Trump will ‘demand’ that Russia stop where they are, and Ukraine cede wherever that is - sometime in the Spring. Maybe as soon as February. Hence Russia throwing in as many lives as they possibly can (credible intel suggests they have lost more casualties in the past 10 days than in 10 years in Afghanistan).

Russia will stop. For now. They actually need a pause in cadence. But the likes of Poland and Lithuania are now very troubled.

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Indeed. As I have reported above, the intensity and recklessness of assaults, particularly in Kursk; has increased dramatically to gain territorial leverage in case it becomes politically expedient to freeze front lines.

Plausible, though there are some question marks how Kreml views a longer pause both politically and military technically. I would be a bit careful with being categorical here.

In a military technical sense, that is very true. Economically too, of course, though they can probably afford too grind at current rate to 2027 in theory; although backclash will become worse and worse, obviously. But politically it depends on a fair few factors. A very important one is the leverage Washington is willing to use, if they bluff or not, if there are carrots or not. And so on. Another is Kyiv’s calculus and desperation.

All in all very plausible scenario and many security analysts certainly agree with you. Some are not so certain. I am not sure, but leaning towards a 2025 freeze myself.

Thanks for the post. Always interesting to hear your thoughts.

https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/military-balance/2024/11/russia-is-expanding-its-solid-propellant-motor-production-facilities/

https://x.com/dillonrpayton/status/1860441279152423220

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https://x.com/moklasen/status/1860291805146701876

Cheap and there is a lack of IFVs for all assault units.
We saw them starting to use these in 2023 for assaults with low-priority assault units. They are golf carts so they are what they are. But they have to throw men to the Ukrainian lines some how. It looks insane from a western perspective of course, but these are, in the words of a Russian senator, “superfluous men of low quality to society” that are sacrificing themselves for the Fatherland for very good pay.

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I was scrolling my timeline now to see if there was something I should really, really post that I hadn’t. There was probably. Some rather good thoughts regarding what @Arminius spoke of; and many war videos and military analysis, but will take a bit too long now to post since they are longish threads. Not that critical and not that many readers in the thread.

I did find this though. Not exactly important news, but good for a smile, I suppose.
https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1855223956799664306

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But that photo bottom right raises a serious question…what is Haaland doing there?!?

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The important question we all should ask, indeed.