The Corona Pandemic

They may self identify as such, but i suspect few of them truly are libertarians…

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I know a self proclaimed anarchist who I strongly suspect hasn’t the foggiest what that actually means. Also unvaccinated.

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Saw a headline this morning suggesting GSK have an antibody that can handle Omicron.

Yes!

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Just one? Think we’re going to need more than that.

There is going to be quite an argument for the first go with it.

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This morning’s cheerful note - “We believe that previous infection does not provide protection from Omicron,” said Anne von Gottberg, an expert at the National Institute for Communicable Diseases in South Africa. I suspect the ratlickers will be less eager to trumpet that early finding than the anecdotal observation that omicron has largely been causing mild cases in a young population.

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With that Dutch (??) flight from S.A a few days ago where tens of passengers tested positive, can it be explained to me how that happened? Did the travelers not need a pre-departure test or has that only come in again post-Omicron?

If they were dropped as a requirement, I do wonder why. To appease the travel industry?

With that KLM flight, it seems very likely that a significant percentage of the infections were contracted on the aircraft or immediately after. After arrival, the flight was not allowed to disembark for three hours, which means very limited ventilation capacity in an enclosed space, and accounts suggest that enforcement of masks became at best indifferent. The rooms set aside for pre-quarantining were similarly very small.

Anecdotally, it appears that Omicron may have a very fast incubation floor - in Norway, one case in an Oslo pub on Saturday appears to be linked with exposure at a dinner party the previous evening.

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I don’t know if my trip to Aus is going ahead. Tasmania has very strict border control, so until they announce whether they will continue on with their planned 15/12 reopening date I won’t know. I do know that I’ll be taking PCR tests in the lead up to the trip and taking a bag load of LFTs with me.

But that quick incubation sounds shit. Quite honestly I could board a flight free of COVID, catch a flight to Aus, I land and am announced as a close contact to someone on the flight (pretty likely) and spend 14 days in NSW over the Chrissy period then fly home without seeing the fam.

Every instinct is telling me to push these plans but I’m a stubborn fucker.

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If the early data holds, and given the length of the flight, you could board free, contract it on the flight, and fail a PCR test on arrival.

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Yeah that too, but I was thinking more about the likelihood which is that surely 1 in 200 on the flight will have it whereas the likelihood of me getting it on the flight is much lower, and somewhat within my control (double mask -cloth over FFP3 with face shield). Knowing how strict Aus is I imagine one case would result in the whole flight needing to self-isolate for 14 days.

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Confirming that NSW will have the entire flight self-isolate if there is a case on the flight. And there would be no way to do that self-isolation in Tasmania as NSW currently requires 72 hours self isolation before boarding a domestic flight due to Omicron.

Final nail.

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Are vaccines slowing down the spread of COVID? Look at data from the three most-vaccinated U.S. states, all with rates above 72%. Then look at the case graphs for each state. All this before Omicron. Hard to see where vaccines slowed the spread of the disease. I’m not posting the death graphs, but they are also pretty inconclusive. Rhode Island has a demonstrated reduction in deaths, Maine and Vermont not so much.

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One thing a lot of places are clearly seeing is that the reduction in case load from vaccines is offset by an increase due to eased restrictions and behaviours.

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Is it sexually transmissible?