Right, that is what is troubling. Error is about the most benign possible explanation.
I love South Africa but their data is highly unreliable.
appears the BC CDC has re-done their epidemiology app. data looks much cleaner and easier to access/sort
Conventionally, the death data is assumed to the most accurate though
I agree normally but for a country that has 3 times the number of excess deaths as recorded covid deaths I do feel that even their deaths data is going to be “clumpy”, at best.
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Similar thing in the UK With cases now falling but deaths still increasing. The timescales involved are not significant to compare accurately to elsewhere. I suspect it’s the normal lag between diagnosis and death here.
Austria though. Their cases look very different.
I heard Sydney/NSW had a really bad day. 
UK recorded 438 deaths today. Highest number since February last year.
We were on a hard lockdown from December 18 until last Saturday. Higher education, gyms, hairdressers reopened. Although omicron hit us as hard as the rest of Europe, fewer and fewer people went into hospitials and ICU’s, in fact, numbers keep going down.
The expectation is that if things go on as they are doing now the pubs, 
restaurants, musea, and theaters reopen as promised the day after January 25. 
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Starting to come to a head here, with the Authoritarian trend that the Trudeau government is taking. Effective yesterday they have mandated that all truck drivers must be vaccinated to cross the border into the United States where much of our fruits and vegetables are imported from. The inflation on cost of goods/services here is escalating quickly and this will further exacerbate the high cost of healthy eating. There is a series of protests starting this week by the truck drivers who do not wish to be vaccinated.
Also, this was released today. I feel like it’s going to get worse before it gets better here
Funny how these Mounties who have these attacks of conscience about civil rights never seem to be anywhere fucking near a First Nations demonstration around land rights when they kick in…
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Desperate for something to save his flagging popularity, British PM Johnson drops covid rules.
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I haven’t read any comments on the patent free Corbevax vaccine, developed by the co-directors of the Texas Children’s Hospital Center for Vaccine Development at Baylor College of Medicine, Drs. Maria Elena Bottazzi and Peter Hotez. The vaccine has been approved for emergency use in India at the end of December.
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Don’t think that will make an iota difference if he stays or goes.
Maybe, but it is blatantly political rather than epidemiological.
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Moving this over to the Covid thread, I’ve been looking into the data a bit more and been graphing the data in Qlik, using case-fatality ratio mapped against cumulative cases, as I think that cumulative cases (rather than date) is better for this comparative analysis where Australia you could say is in its infancy of the pandemic due to very minimal community exposure.
Australia is currently sitting on 200 covid deaths per 100k cases after just under 300,000 cumulative cases over the course of the pandemic. UK went under 200 deaths/100k after 4.8 million cases, which would have been around July 2021. The graph really highlights how Australia have been able to make the case-fatality ratio nosedive on vaccine alone and catch up with the likes of UK without having to have large scale exposure and infection. Sure, Australia are fortunate to be opening up in the Summer and things might turn South when Winter approaches but its looking good for them where I’m sitting. UK since 18th December are down to an all-time low of 60 deaths per 100k cases, but prior to this since July have been hovering between 200-400 deaths/100k.
Disclaimer: Deaths have been offset by 2 weeks to tie into the cases they would be associated with. Its not highly accurate but obviously its more accurate than using date of death. Because of this offset, data is only to the first week of January 2022.
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