This is what we in Europe need to discuss now. US election is now no longer important. Done deal (but of course the discussions on the afermath of that galactic disaster will go on forever obviously).
The German election is going to be very important for all of us.
I would very much like feedback from all the Germans we have here.
Those of you who read German politics, which constellation seems most likely ? CDU +Grüne + FDP ?
In the Bundestag, you need a majority and this is what we have now:
Fuck the FDP. I doubt the Greens would work with them again.
Red, Black, Green most likely, although there would be differences, at least they all believe in Democracy.
Impossible to say atm, might see a lot of change until March, when the election will likely be and especially when you have parties so close to the 5% threshold. Most likely won’t need 50% combined. Right now I’d say a grand coalition (CDU and SPD, like we had in most of Merkel’s time) is most likely, but again, way too early.
I also think that a grand coalition will be the most likely outcome, nobody likes these governments but I will gladly bite into that sour apple cause it means AfD and BSW will be kept away from power and from coalition talks.
Tending to the conservative side in principle it hurts me to watch CDUs behavior in recent years. I found and find it disgusting and very wrong that the Green Party was declared the main enemy in the past by CDU and especially by the CSU. I don’t like the Green Party very much, but I respect them and I do not have the slightest doubt that they stick to the rules and regulations and spirit of our constitution. Declaring them to be the main rival/enemy and not the AfD is disgraceful, just disgraceful.
Merz - in my opinion - is the wrong man. The most popular man among CDU followers maybe, but as he was on the forefront of advocating this stupid stance of declaring the Green Party the main enemy I doubt his political wisdom. Günther in Holstein and Wüst in NRW have working, smooth and effective coalition-governments with the Green Party and they would have been my favorites.
His stupid remarks about being middle-class and his Black Rock past are two more reasons for me to be unhappy with him.
I dont trust him to have the backbone to hold a coalition together for long.
Cant see this happening.
CDU feel being on a high, SPD wouldn’t accept being the Junior in a coalition with them and then there would still be the problem of the Green Party : now ruling together with them would make the CDU lose a lot of credit with their following.