The Middle East Thread

For those who do want to read it but don’t want to deal with the Xesspit directly, here:

2 Likes

Thank you.

Pro Regime TV claims that Bashar al Assad is in Tehran to meet with Khamenei. There are rumours that he brought his wife and children there too.

1 Like

Iranian Foreign Minister tells Iraqis today in Baghdad that Tehran will send “military deployments” to save Assad in Syria.

I mean can Assad hold Damascus until Iranians arrives to Syria - don’t think so
However, Iraqi FM confirms that Baghdad will focus on diplomatic efforts to help Damascus regain control in Syria — firmly denying any military involvement.

This marks a significant setback for Assad, as it was Iraqi armed groups that enabled him to recapture Aleppo in 2016.

All in all, the situation in Syria is evolving rapidly, but the pace will accelerate dramatically w/ the fall of Assad & the Syrian rebels’ takeover of Damascus.

This shift will inevitably ripple across the region, with significant implications for countries like Lebanon & Iraq.

The greatest threat is Syria’s conflict spilling into Iraq & Lebanon, igniting sectarian wars in both. Assad’s fall would devastate the Axis of Resistance, leaving Iraq & Lebanon on the brink. keep an eye on both Iraq & Lebanon in coming months in case Damascus loses the grip.

Lawk Ghafuri.

https://x.com/putintintin1/status/1865101316642533880

https://x.com/putintintin1/status/1865101320631288099

1 Like

Israel’s Channel 12 reports that Israeli aviation have struck Assad regime chemical weapons depots to prevent them from falling into the hands of Syrian rebels.

1 Like

https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1865127892239180150

Assad allies:

• Russia still didn’t move any forces from Africa. Some airstrikes but no commitment for more resources
• Iraq, lots of talk but little help so far.
• Iranian FM talks about full support, but his state tv now calls HTS “armed opposition” instead of takfiris

https://x.com/mohammed_asakra/status/1865129252825223626

Turkey’s SNA have now started their Manbij offensive against the Kurds, calling it a “Revolutionary offensive” and blah blah.

1 Like

https://x.com/abdalhadealani/status/1865118451280253434

1 Like

https://x.com/VivaRevolt/status/1865137577654677844

https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/status/1865135200688013808

https://x.com/ThomasVLinge/status/1865159501394870576

1 Like

Very mixed feelings about this. I really hope HTS will uphold their early promises and actually make a Syria for all, not just their preferred sects.

1 Like

'It looks like the rebels are already gaining international legitimacy , an ominous sign for Assad ;

In a briefing for reporters this week, Mouaz Moustafa, the executive director of the Syrian Emergency Task Force, an opposition group that works with the U.S. military, praised the group for turning on Aleppo’s electricity soon after it occupied the city.

Mr. Moustafa said it was wrong to tie the group to its jihadist roots, insisting that it was not affiliated with terror groups. He urged the United States to give its full-throated support to the push against Mr. al-Assad, saying the offensive was in U.S. national interests.

“Everyone should see this as Iran losing in Syria,” he said.’

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/06/world/middleeast/syria-rebels-damascus-iran.html?unlocked_article_code=1.fk4.A71E.NEGAsYSGXl22&smid=url-share

(Free to read.)

3 Likes

I didn’t observe the earlier part of the Civil War that closely, but for those who did, are there tipping points in terms of international recognition for the Syrian opposition that have been crossed that weren’t before?

I would imagine it’s simply a case of realpolitik. The regional powers have seen that the writing is on the wall and are aligning correspondingly. Of course HST’s renouncement of jihadi ideology and rhetoric has helped.

1 Like

It’s not surprising since the Gulf Arabs are aligned with the Salafist forces.

https://x.com/Rebel44CZ/status/1865378881969979489

What Lavrov says, seldom if ever matters.
https://x.com/FARED_ALHOR/status/1865382274323153072

https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1865364573403951176

Because most of them don’t understand their actual position.
https://x.com/OzKaterji/status/1865368524195062172

https://x.com/OzKaterji/status/1865368677824016548

1 Like

https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1865370941624135741

1 Like