Everyone seems to forget about the fate of Gaza, but hell on earth still goes on there:
Almost 46k killed now, among them at least 15k children. Who knows how many injured people and children? How many severely traumatized children and grown-ups? How many with lasting damage from famine and lack of clean water and proper infrastructures?
This is a nightmare.
Iâm not sure itâs forgetting so much as being completely powerless to change anything.
So many places i could have posted thisâŚ
im sorry, why the laughing emoji?
There have already been lots of people warning that the official numbers would be toppled by reality. Simply because missing people for instance canât be counted among the dead.
Also, there is a grey zone. If someone dies because of flu, he/she wonât be counted in the numbers. However, maybe that person died from flu because it was at the same time not receiving clean water, not enough food since months, and had no hospital to go to? In that case, that person would be a casualty from the war, but it will never be counted like that. It would be too complicated. Thatâs why official numbers never match the actual number.
So, as the article says, these new numbers, albeit higher, are still not the entire numbers of dead: "The figure is only for deaths from traumatic injuries and does not include deaths from a lack of healthcare or food, or the thousands believed to be buried under rubble.
Why are you laughing at this?
Daily headlines of millionairesâ mansions burned down in LA, but the human beings burnt alive in tent hospitals in Gaza hardly made the news
Not that it justifies anything, but are you surprised? Random shit stories about no-name âcelebritiesâ often makes the news over human rights abuses in e.g. Burma, East Turkestan (refuse to call it by the name China gives to it), the Amazon, etc.
Maybe as a gift from the Israeli criminals for Trumpâs inauguration party?
Sign of insanity perhaps. Thereâs only so much a sane person can take, right!
Oh my daysâŚlook at the leader of the motley crew in blackâŚ
OopsâŚwrong threadâŚbut donât know how too move itâŚsorry
Iâm speechless
This shit show campaign seems to be finally coming to an end. IDF is right now preparing for gradual withdraw, also from the Philadelphia corridor. When the political leadership gives the order, which it is soon likely to do (but since itâs Netanyahuâs dysfunctional gov, always hard to say 100 percent), it will begin in stages.
Strategically, this is a defeat, like I predicted long ago, for israel, if current deal goes through. Many tactical military victories, but strategically, Israel comes out of this campaign politically weaker and not stronger due to a catalogue of war crimes and genocidal language used by various politicians and officers. And many hostages are now dead.
As for Hamas, their campaign against Israel has cynically destroyed Gaza, but they can politically maybe spin this as a victory, with Zinwar as a war hero who died heroically on tv. With enough resistance propaganda and a media blitz on the more than thousand prisoners that israel will release, they are likely to succeed in the Arab World, buy maybe not so much in Gaza. Hamas got what they wanted, they had their war and clash with Israel (but are also in a weak strategic position due to the defeats of their allies and their gambling on Oct 7 may backfire politically for them due to itâs insane risk, as states who support them do not like insane risks). Sacrifice of populace to cement Palestinian Nationalism through shared pain and bloodshed, like they so oftened said they wanted.
Palestinians, mostly the poorest among them (of which there are many), in Gaza are going to suffer the next decade, rebuilding will be very slow. Hamas social services will distrubute UN aid, and Hamas will likely get much of the cred for it.
What might follow now if this deal goes through, is maybe a 3-5 period of Quiet. Then in 4-5 years, gradual low level escalation like usual. But an attack, like Oct 7, and a similar ruthless israeli punitive campaign, probably not for a decade at the very least, since Hamas is militarily shattered and politically weak.
Rinse and repeat this in 15-20 years probably.
No real end in sight.
On the other hand, we may get annexations of parts of the West Bank soon and Hamas have been trying to lay the military ground work for taking over there during the war, which it may well succeed in doing too, since Israel may not bother to help the PA (And Israelâs help is also an albatross ofc) , since it may well be seen as preferable having an extremist islamist faction like Hamas kill the last vestiges of secular Nationalism and take over (because the security apparatus in Israel thinks in this manner).
Itâs hard not to be depressed about the situation, coming Cease Fire or not.
Israels legitimacy on the World Stage may have plummeted, but they wonât go away and a One State Solution, like many want, is out of the question and further away than ever (the very idea of a One State requires a long, long period of detente) and a Two State seems equally far off.
I find it very easy, actually.
Just accept that people are fuckwits, and that will never change, and move on. No need to be depressed about something immutable.
Very helpful, these fascists.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/smotrich-vows-to-carry-on-gaza-war-but-doesnt-say-if-he-will-thwart-hostage-deal/
https://www.timesofisrael.com/ben-gvir-says-he-repeatedly-foiled-hostage-deals-urges-smotrich-to-help-him-stop-this-one/
This is the supposed frame work (not the deal itself. as it contains no details on the how):
Yeah , the ceasefire isnât going to happen.
Itâs the there and back again story.
Will be glad to be proven wrong.
A cease fire will happen eventually (a perpetual campaign isnât in their interest). But itâs quite possible that they want to extract better terms from Hamas and further turn the screws on the Gazan populace (well, certainly Smotrich and Ben Gvir would like to turn increase the pain).
But I think itâs relatively close, myself. Less than a month, I think.
Time will tellâŚ
