The calm before the storm. Everyone’s waiting on that stupid fat fuck to actually make a decision for once in his life.
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He might be waiting to see what Putin allows him to do?
He’s got a lot to weigh up , and I’m guessing that foremost in his mind won’t be what’s best in the US national interest. Surprise !
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All American assets were flown into place today. Last batch that was shipped today to the region, was tankers towing 12 F-22.
Except those coming on ships to reinforce:
https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1935442984998518817
https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1935451113873899967
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Not going to post videos of ballistic missiles unless it is spectacular. It’s boring. We know what they look like going up and how it looks when they are intercepted. The only news value is if they actually hit a relevant target, which I will post about for sure.
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They have now bombed the Arak reactor.
Also, larger than usual Iranian salvo this morning.
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1935552285926404461
https://x.com/michaelh992/status/1935557066241814829
https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/1935571322631053561
https://x.com/michaelh992/status/1935573430642036905
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1935556456960635190
https://x.com/michaelh992/status/1935557705516605795
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1935558104151896512/photo/1
https://x.com/michaelh992/status/1935559800969941066
https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1935565014162636971
https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1935566699501130178
Yupp
https://x.com/IntelDoge/status/1935563162012553567
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Israeli defensive systems depleted rather earlier than I would have thought. A functioning Hezbollah would be a real threat right now which brings the strikes on rendering them ineffective into much clearer relief. Have to hand it to the Israelis, no matter what one might think of them, in purely military terms they are in process of pulling off a masterclass that started long before the strikes on Iran itself.
Having seen how effective Israels’ Iron Dome is when Iran launched their attacks last year, I find myself questioning how this attack could be so successful unless the Iron Dome was shut down, or partialy shut down.
I also laugh at the accusation of the Soroka Hospital being used as a military base and housing weapon caches, when Israel repeatedly use this claim to attack Palestine
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It’s different missiles Iran are using now. Far harder to intercept than the ones they used in the first 2 days when they probably hoped that Trump would stop Israel.
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The Iron Dome cannot intercept ballistic missiles. I don’t understand why so many on the internet (not you, but probably the sources you have read) thinks that it can. The Iron Dome was designed specifically to deal with rockets and mortars as well as slower moving cruise missiles. It is designed to down Iranian satelite rocketry and cannot even target a ballistic missile, far less shoot it down.
The systems Israel uses to down ballistic missiles are called AEGIS and Arrow. Excellent systems, but ballistic missiles are notoriously hard to shoot down as you would maybe have noticed from Russian short range Iskanders impacting in Kyiv despite being fired upon by 13 interceptors from a state of the art Patriot battery.
And the hypersonic Orishniev ? You have maybe 5% chance of shooting it down. This is also why relying on missile shields for nuclear defence is absurd. It can mitigate some damage, but not if your enemy has a lot to launch (it helps in counter vaulue targeting in a a World War 3 Doomsday scenario, where 20-30 million more Americans may get to live in an apocalypse)
As we observe now, Iran is using their newer missiles now that they have identified Israeli GBAD. And then of course, logically, Israeli interception rates is way down.
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Okay then. So the plan then ?
https://x.com/yossi_melman/status/1935700036303585630
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This is what Iran used in it’s attack this morning for instance. A far cry from the missiles they used on Day 1 and 2.
A cluster missile with truly bad CEP; but a few of the warheads are likely to get through as an example.
Iran has a lot of variety in missiles.
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