Sorry for the 
emoji, but I couldnât help.
On the other end of the spectrum, some âexpertsâ, and âanalystsâ couldnât differentiate between an actual combat aircraft and a drone.
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No reason to be sorry, it is absolutely hilarious for me, haha.
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Israel accusing Iran of war crimes and terrorism.
Do these cunts have no shame?
Stain on the planet
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Iâm really frustrated with delusion of European leaders. They are demanding so much with basically nothing in return. More importantly, they are totally useless if USA or Israel donât give them a fuck.
No wonder cunts like Trump, Farage, et al are in ascendency, they have it easy.
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Why do they need to offer Iran anything? Right now, they are offering Iran brokerage while Israel bombs them and we wait to see if the US will as well. if the European offer is insufficient, well, Iran can take it up with Trump.
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Then what is there leverage? Can they even stop Israel, or USA from bombing. I mean they couldnât in the first place, and they couldnât when USA sabotaged the deal in 2018. Also, they arenât doing Iran any favors. They just donât want spiral into something that affects them too.
They might not have leverage with the US, but they donât need leverage with Iran. Broad though it may be, the terms outlined are certainly better than anything that will come out of a discussion with Trump driven by Netanyahu.
How is that better when you donât have leverage with Trump or Netanyahu? How are they going to guarantee an end even if Iran agrees to all their whims? Iran is just going to hedge on another 2018 not happening? Iran is just going to pretend that Israel is not going to violet a ceasefire just as it did in Gaza and getting away with that? Perhaps the Europeans still arenât grasping the consequence of Iran turning into the next Iraq/Syria/Sudan/Yemen.
It is really pretty simple. Europe is trying to get Iran to agree to terms that Europe can endorse and try to push in Washington (and Tel Aviv to a lesser extent). If Iran wonât meet the European requirements, Europe leaves Iran to the tender mercies of the IDF. In some European circles, Iran is reaping what it has sowed, not least for supplying Russia to pound Ukraine.
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So, even Iran agrees to all their whims, the European canât get the deal done; let alone preventing Trump and Netanyahu from breaching it, again. Good process.
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The world would be a far better place if the USA just turned its missiles in the direction of Israel and wiped it off the face of the earth
Yet another genocide? No thanks.
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Thatâs about the size of it. That is Iranâs best option right now. Hand a deal to Europe, hope Europe can get the US and Israel to agree to it. and then rely on Europe to ensure compliance. Europe in turn has hopes that China, the Gulf states and perhaps Russia will support that.
Iran has pushed this crisis to the limit, suddenly realized they will get nothing from Russia, China has minimal interest. The Gulf states donât want to see Iran collapse, but they certainly arenât going to spend any diplomatic capital by themselves.
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Not sure what the face palm is for. Iran has all but gift-wrapped this opportunity for Netanyahu. In the past 3 years, IAEA has expressed increasing concern over the lack of transparency. It was only a matter of time before they would arrive at the June 12 declaration. The bombs started falling the next day. Iran has had so many opportunities to just slow the escalation down.
Iran has conducted itself as if a global struggle would deter Israel, when the reality is that they burned their bridges with most of the rest of the world. Supporting Russia against Ukraine carved off a huge part of any countervailing influence. Once Russia had more to gain by improving relations with USA/Trump, Iran was in terrible trouble - and yet they didnât seem to understand that. Israel has been itching for this chance for a generation, and Iranâs leadership has allowed themselves to be isolated, they have scorned the international organizations that should have been their only hope, and have been left friendless.
The only states that actually care to see Israel pull up short of producing regime collapse are neighbours who are otherwise all to pleased to see Iranâs power get cut down. No one is coming to Iranâs aid, militarily, diplomatically, or otherwise. Iâd say that Iran really had it coming for all the Shaheds that have slammed into Ukrainian civilian sites, but the reality is that the Iranian people really donât deserve what is happening to them.
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I know you for a long time, and I know that you are a good person and a smart guy. So, I will not indulge in futility of trying to point the issues you are missing or avoiding.
Neither you (Iâm assuming), nor I has the capability to influence Trump, Khamenei, or Netanyahu. So, this merry-go-round of debates is pointless. We canât even prepare for the worst, so, letâs sit back and hope for the best.
Would think long distance cruise missiles are easier to stop for a missile battery than 100s if not 1000s of short range rockets fired by Hamas ?
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1936311030466142423
https://x.com/SR_Planespotter/status/1936290096254267682
US is moving every SINGLE B-2 Spirit in itâs inventory towards the ME.
Every single one. And they are carrying something extremely heavy, since they have several short stops for refuling on the way.
Everything is heading towards Diego Garcia and other strike bases.
Elsewhere, several hundred jets and tankers have now been relocated to relevant bases in the gulf countries.
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Humiliating, I am sure.
https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1936315144776167471
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On another point, I donât have time to post much today, but I do want to note one thing:
Initial mockery of Iranian missile fire was foolish. They were clearly calibrating and it is now clear that they for the first 3 days held back in terms of capability despite taking extremely heavy damage (shows that they are rational btw). Now, their missile CEP is 1200 meters or so, which is awful, but they are actually doing serious damage to civilians and sometimes even state assets, in Israel. What we have seen the last 2-4 days have shocked Israelis. The level of destruction inside Israel is now significant and many Israelis of means are trying to flee the country.
So this isnât cost free to Israel or the israeli state.
Obviously, such Counter Value Trading is awful and not something I support (and vast majority of my posts is not about support, but just showing reality).
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