I think there needs to be a realism that very, very few academy players are ever going to make it at Liverpool.
What’s the going rate for a youngster going on to make 100 first team appearances at Liverpool? One in a hundred? Less than that? You have to be really good to knock on the door, but you also have to be lucky.
Ben Doak has been knocking about Liverpool for a few years now, always looked bright in pre-season (if without much end product), always hyped as the next big thing, but has never quite managed to translate that into a first team sniff, and yes, injuries have played a part in that.
I said I had the sense that the window to come in and establish himself around the squad, much as Bradley or Quansah, or even to a lesser extent Morton, may have passed.
That window I think was around the 2023/24 season. He made a couple sub appearances at the end of the 22/23 season, had a decent preseason for the 23/24, and then came off the bench in the opener against Chelsea. He made a few appearances in the Europa League, and seemed to be ticking along nicely, but got a season ending injury in December.
This where the vast majority of young players are going to come unstuck. A badly timed injury, a loss of form or some set back at a key time is all it takes.
I remember Rhian Brewster looking like an absolute certainty around 19/20. He was really pushed by the club, embraced by Klopp, put front and centre to the extent of going on bus parades and being pictured with big trophies. Struggled with injury. A couple of months later he was sold to Sheffield Utd for £30m.
There is loads of buzz at the minute about Danns, Nyoni and Ngumoha but the reality is that none of them are likely to make it here (although everything I’ve heard about Nyoni suggests that he has been on an elite pathway for a while). The odds are always stacked against kids making it at LFC.
Liverpool won’t sell cheap, because he is a long way from being finished - there is obviously still a chance that a successful loan can be built on, and he comes back stronger - but if someone gives us £25m, he’s gone. I can see him turning up in a couple of years at somewhere like Forest or Bournemouth terrorising teams on the counter.