An elected official is meant to represent all people but you can only really claim actual support for those who voted for them (and the NI electoral system is a bit complicated on that front). In terms of NI politics I find the growth in support for the Alliance Party to be more intriguing.
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They are only still associated with the IRA in the minds of hard-line Unionists and those who refuse to let go of the past. Most people have moved beyond that. They were even happy enough to have McGuinness as Deputy to Paisley , and that was five years ago now.
Those demographic changes are already well underway and a referendum some time in the not too distant future seems almost an inevitability.
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And your basis for this claim isā¦?
A catholic majority.
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Firstly, there isnāt a Catholic majority and secondly not all Catholics want a united Ireland.
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Yes there is. 'Catholic majority possible' in NI by 2021
Thatās why I said broadly.
P.S. Your use of emojis and memes to try and belittle people is both puerile and embarrassing.
You constantly saying stuff thatās wrong is more embarrassing.
About 93% of the Northern Irish population identifies as Christian, 1% is non-Christian and 6% is not religious. Protestants account for 48% of the population while Catholics account for 45%. The Roman Catholic Church is the single largest church in the country although there are more Protestants overall.
Your data is three years out of date.
It was a forecast. Did that bit escape you ?
Another of your sources
Is a 4 yr old article more up to date than a 3 yr old one?
I tend to work chronologically
So you donāt understand the concept of a forecast.
Here , let me explain for you ; Several forecasts predicted a catholic majority in NI by 2021. It is now June 2022 , so most likely we now have a catholic majority.
Which makes my claim correct and your laughing emoji fatuous.
No, it doesnāt.
Forecasts need to actually come true and thereās no evidence that thereās currently either a Catholic majority in NI or a majority in NI in favour of a united Ireland.
It makes the premise of your claim both flawed and speculative.
So my claim , based on several respected forecasts , and a general consensus , is somehow unsound because you say so.
ok dude.
Do you have actual data? Because the data I provided, which was more current than your forecasts, contradicted your claim.
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Are either of you from NI?
Iām not.
There was a census last year. Results on religious demographics will be released this autumn. However, a border poll is far more complex than basic religious headcount. There are Catholics who donāt want united ireland, Protestants that do, and an increasing number that donāt identify as either. A border poll still feels a long way off, but the DUPās support for Brexit and Tory negligence has definitely brought this closer. Ripping up the protocol and a hard border will set the wheels in motion.
Ultimately, most people would probably prefer the status quo than any threat of a return to conflict. Almost everyone of my generation and older knows and/or saw people being killed. Thatās what is on the line, not that the Tories give a shit
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100% agree with everything you say.
I personally feel that a united Ireland is inevitable with the North maintaining a certain level of autonomy.
Almost a devolved part of Ireland rather than a devolved part of the UK.
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