Someone has done some analysis of the local election vote which may be of interest:
I think this is a fairly rudimentary breakdown of the result between now and 2024 (equivalent election) and isn’t based on a sample of actual voters. However, it does indicate that non-voters now voting for Reform is the biggest factor.
The chap who posted it said that he would post his workings later.
Yeah, I think we were discussing some online articles a year or so ago which said pretty much the same thing. Interesting to see the size of that non voting population.
For local elections, 30% is usually seen as a good turnout. It doesn’t take much of a change in turnout to radically alter the result.
What is so essential about the university sector (obviously we are not talking about the alternative being 0 universities)?
Does it actually add the value it used to?
Does it need to be as big as it is now?
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