https://x.com/DanGreenMN/status/1820585720341278740?t=hM7w6eg3gwvLQ5_Acz-ghQ&s=19
Ready to call it?
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Maybe heās actually a drug baron?
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Walz is good, but Pennsylvania is less sure than Minnesota.
That may be decisive.
Watched this yesterday.
Pakman goes through a few scenarios, including where she loses PA but still has a path to victory.
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Suspect she is waiting for Trump to say it again, and he will,at some point and as the Nominee she will tear him apart and the media will have problems playing it down.
That said I wonder how many people outside the US really accept abortion after birth as fact.
Really looks like Trump dribbling shit and plenty prepared to parrot him.
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But that would mean sending him back to UK. We donāt want no bloody riff raff foreigners coming here 
I think weāre in Hail Mary territory if she loses Pennsylvania. The polls he talks about are from a week ago and sheās narrowed them even more. If the Dems internal polling thinks PA is in the bag then she might go for Tim Walz , otherwise she simply has to go with Shapiro , who would virtually guarantee the state.
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Donāt see how PA can be considered āin the bagā. Itās absolutely neck and neck.
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https://x.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1820529770205249873
btw, that other guy is the streamer Adin Ross, meanwhile banned permanently on Twitch for his ultra right wing views
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I donāt mind which of Walz or Shapiro it is. Personally Iām closer to the politics of Walz, but as a running mate, they both have their uses for the overall ticket. There are multiple paths to the Whitehouse for Harris and it isnāt all on one state.
One thing I am watching for is if the economy lulls, as looks likely. Trump will pile on (heās already started) to pin any possible slowing or downturn onto Harris.
Further, if anything escalates between Israel and Iran, he will also use that to pile into Harris, and claim there wouldnāt be war if he was in the Whitehouse.
Itās all a bunch of balls, of course, but apart from any misbobbles - and Harris looks way too professional for that - I would say they are the two main potential attack lines for Trump.
Apart from that he seems to have a diminishing campaign, that grows ever more extreme.
So long as younger people come out to vote - and that might be a danger too, I canāt see past a Harris win.
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Walz! Go on, Momala!
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Surely though they must be amongst the two most important areas that people will be voting on?
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Thatās a very optimistic take. PA is a key swing state and it would be hard to win without it. Iām closer to Walz too, but heās vulnerable to attack on the post Floyd riots, and you can be sure the Reps will be producing lots of videos of burning cars in the next few weeks.
Itās not beyond Trumpās rich backers to engineer a stock market fall, or his Israeli friends to start a skirmish or two with Iran.
Three months to go and, literally, anything could happen.
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From what was said above isnāt it also the case that Shapiro would weaken her campaign with the base with his extremely hawkish pro-Israel government war crime stance?
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Absolutely. The economy is a vital election issue. Harris needs to prosecute her case - talk about the good things under the Democrat government economy. That case hasnāt been made very well among the public at large. Contrast with job losses and rapidly growing debt under Trump.
As for war in Israel, itās delicate, as legitimate criticism of Israelās response is conflated with anti-semitism over here, so Harris needs to walk a fine line.
Still, it should not be difficult to make a case that the unjust and very heavy-handed response by Israel has fired up its opponents. A call for calm and peace is in order, although it could be choppy water for Harris, as any legitimate criticism of Israel will be jumped all over.
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While accepting that today anything is vulnerable to attack, I really dont think his position, especially given his ability to talk his way through his thoughts on the issues, should pose any sort of unique issue. There is no running mate who can be selected who wont have things team Trump will view as vulnerabilities and at least with Walz and the riots he has already spent 4 years facing those questions and dealing with them thoughtfully and, to me, fairly impressively.
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