US Election 2024

The strings are a bit hard to see, but they are there!

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The biggest moves against the Democrats were in the blue cities and amongst Hispanics and to a lesser extent Asians. Kamala increased her share amongst white people.

Progressive far left policies have been a disaster. Progressive policies have seen soaring crime and disorder in the cities in which they govern. If Democrats can’t run their cities, why should Americans let them run our country? Every time you go into a CVS or a Duane Reed and had to ask for something that was locked away, that is an ad for the Republican Party.

The culture war topics worked against the far left. The general view is that the far left extremists cared more about the rights of the 5% of the population who were shooting up or shitting in the streets than the 95% of the people who have to endure this nonsense.

I don’t talk politics much here deliberately. I come here to talk football. I talk politics elsewhere. My impression is that this place is left wing. And in America, the far left has experienced a decisive loss. Far left progressives can’t get elected anywhere except in deep blue places.

I voted for Kamala because I cannot stand Trump. My belief is that if the Republicans had run anyone else, their victory would have been more decisive.

Inflation was the most important issue. Immigration was second. Hispanics and Asians were much more for border security than white progressives. Cultural issues were a distant third.

Gaza? Last. The far left progressives are absolutely clueless about anything outside their ideological bubble.

I thought - was hoping - Kamala would win. But the people whom the Democrats thought were behind them turned against them and voted for an abhorrent human being.

Thinking that Democrats need to go more left wing and progressive means you are disconnected from today’s political reality.

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What are these policies and what makes them even centre left let alone far left?

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Won’t be able to name a single one.

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I don’t think there can be much doubt that the GOP attack ads on trans issues landed on fertile ground.

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They did. But…

  1. they were actually more nuanced than being a pure culture war message. They were a “you want a government who cares about the economy and they are putting energy into allowing men to play women’s sports” message. They were economic messages

  2. they were based on a boogeyman the gop created not an actual reflection of what “far left policies” result in in the real world. The culture wars are largely the gop complaining about the Dems doing something and the Dems saying “we did what now? When?” And then voters getting angry at Dems about it.

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Yes this shit sucks. But this was not in response to any actual crime epidemic. It wa the combination of hysteria over arguments the gop made about crime, and an opportunity industry trade groups saw to try to present a crime spree they needed help with that did not really exist.

Thee is a lot the electorate was mad at that the Dems did not counter effectively. Very little of it though is based in objective reality, explaining in part why the Dems were slow to understand the importance of counter messaging.

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Open borders

Theft isn’t a felony

Defund the police

Trans ideology

Gaza

In that order

You LOST

You can stick your head in the sand and whine about how evil everyone else is and how your ideology isn’t to blame. Congratulations. Your virtue signaling will win you lots of plaudits amongst your little echo chamber.

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New York

San Francisco

Absolutely none of those were Democrat policies.

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Ok now explain how anything in that graph describes the emergence of a situation that compels drug stores to lock up their deodorant.

“Boss, shop lifting is steady but car jacking are high. What should we do?”
“Lock up the underpants. It’s the only way.”

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I travel to New York a fair amount. A few years ago, New Yorkers were telling me that crime was as bad as it was in the 1970s. That I did NOT believe. However, people believed - rightly - that crime was rising. My own personal experience in NYC a year after the pandemic was that the City had become a more dangerous place. There were streets and neighborhoods that I used to traverse that no longer felt safe. I witnessed vandalism against pharmacies with no response whatsoever that would have been unthinkable pre-pandemic.

The first trip I took to LA after the pandemic was indicative of what was happening there. I walked in to a Target in Santa Monica, and as the doors opened, the sirens went off and two young women ran by me with arms full of stolen clothes. There was no response. Hey, stopping theft was “racism!” As I walked through stores in west LA, I kept hearing ads by politicians that I would have expected in the Deep South.

Republicans made their biggest gains in the cities. Leftist incumbents were crushed in LA and SF. And it isn’t because people are being lied to. That’s not only wrong but it’s incredibly arrogant and condescending. It’s why people think the left looks down at them.

The Far Left promoting these garbage identitarian ideologies and “systematic racism” that protect criminals and promote disorder are living in an alternative reality fantasy world disconnected to the realities of every day life.

The Moderate Left is popular. But they are being undermined by the extremist ideologues on the far left.

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Because “shrinkage” exploded.

CVS executive recently told AXIOS that his chain has suffered a 300% increase in the aggressive form of shoplifting since the beginning of the pandemic.

https://www.wusa9.com/article/news/crime/organized-retail-crime-cvs-thefts-pandemic-increase/65-a766390f-942a-4a7d-8cbe-4bebac056d45#

These things don’t just happen in a vacuum. Companies don’t make the shopping experience of their customers worse for no reason.

Is it still true that I basically can walk into any shop in California and take less than $900 of goods for free, every day if I want to, and the police probably won’t bother?

Yup

But voters passed an amendment to reinstate that as a felony.

So you better start your crime spree soon!

Damn should have made full use of my trip back in April.

Yeah, my HQ was in SOHO overlooking the high line, but the cheap fucks always make me stay in midtown when I come up because they won’t pay the rates to have me stay closer. The first few times I went up there after Covid locks downs ended the walk to and from the office was notably different. Lots more homeless and weirdos. It was a notably anti social time with lots of people struggling. Notably though those trips were before Biden was elected.

A lot of that chaos extended into the first couple of years of the Biden presidency but eventually came back down and did long before the election. In most places this was associated with INCREASED funding for police.

Observing that things went fucky for a period around a global pandemic that fucked everything is legit. But blaming that on Dems for their extreme left positions is nonsense when a lot of this happened under trump, the things people blame it on are not actual dem positions but just things the GOP says about them, and in most cities police funding increased.

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It’s true that violent crime has fallen to pre-pandemic levels. And that’s good.

But nuisance and petty crime is still high. And most people experience petty crime as opposed to violent crime.