War in Iran : Trump's latest misadventure

https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2052496006369939532
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2052494640553566472
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/2052494445354860783

Maybe not ideal for Iran
https://x.com/phildstewart/status/2052513292329828368

All wars are dumb, but this one takes the cake indeed.

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Especially when this one is down to one idiots ego!

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2053530671755444302

LOL !
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2053548653231342048
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2053549043997983164
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2053550347885383893
Yeah, Iran is very much choosing war here, no doubt about that. At least it is goading it with these impossible conditions.

These conditions are naturally not something the US can accept. Everyone understands that, including Iran.

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I’m guessing that this has come from the new Supreme Leader. Looks like that regime change worked out really well. :open_mouth:

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Plan 9 From Outer Space has gone off the rails. Who could have predicted that (except a lot of people) ? :grimacing:

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All of this is tragicomic but oh so depressing.
Such an unecessary war in the first place.

Some wise man a long time ago indeed, said the words “it’s easy to start a war, but hard to end it”.

This is what happens when an idiot thinks international diplomacy is some card game he’s invented.

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Wrong.

US and Israel launched an unprovoked, and barbaric attack on Iran on February 28. It wasn’t the first time either.

Also, aside from #5, none of the demands is unreasonable.

Defend your position, explain why this is not Iran choosing to go back to fighting instead of yielding necessary concessions to avoid war. Use logic, I dare you.
Here are Iran’s conditions:


This is also, I note, preconditions for negotiating the nuclear file after a 30 days.

We all agree that US launched an unprovoked attack on Iran, but that is 100% irrelevant to this.

Will read a possible reply later, must get back to work.

I really hate it when you get riled up like this. You lose all your usual nuance, and wit. But because I know you, I will try again,

aside from #5, none of the demands is unreasonable.

Mate, I am not at all riled up. Nothing you said provoked me. I questioned you logic, dared you to defend a position that seems intellectually indefensible to me.
But I am really, really not angry at you. But I want an explanation from you since you claimed my analysis of the negotiation situation is incorrect.

And you have yet to explain why this could be politically acceptable to the US and how Trump could accept it, even though he desperatly wants out of the war. The conditions seem designed to force a return to hostlities, as the IRGC thinks it can ride out 2-3 weeks of ressumed fighting.
That is my analysis. I want yours.

Let me put it this way. If US some how does not return to bombing after this, but accepts these conditions (that seem impossible to accept to me, and I for one think Iran knows that), I would be incredibly surprised, given that it would mean Total Defeat.

But if other people think the US will accept a Total Defeat in Iran at this point in time, then ok; but I want to hear reasoning, i want to hear logic and knowledge applied to the argument.

If I was War Gaming the US, only 1,2 and 3 (maybe partly 4) are possible to concede in the current geopolitical climate. If I was wargaming Iran, I would know the US could not accept those conditions, but I would issue them anyway for propaganda reasons, since it would be a political win for me, as I have already decided to risk going back to war, since my goal is the destruction of Trump’s presidency; and I assess the Islamic Republic will survive another 2-3 weeks of bombing without my IRGC-led click losing control of the state. Successfully riding out 2-3 weeks of bombing, gives me a better chance of destroying said presidency, instilling deterrance as well as giving me a better foundation to push out my conditions for peace, as US is more likely to yield severe concessions closer to the Midterm elections.

Anyway, I will be delighted to be wrong. But so far my track record of predictions has been too good in this war and I wish it wasn’t since it is all so fucking daft anyway. Feel free to throw the eggs when US does not go back to bombing though.

Hopefully its all just negotiations and bluster, from both sides.

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Seems the Orange One agrees with my assessment (granted, this does not mean that he will act on it, days ahead will tell us that)
Faytuks Network on X: “Trump says he does not like Iran’s response and that it is “TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE”. https://t.co/OhBHResJtM” / X

I note he says it in the most childish way imaginable, but that is Trump.

https://x.com/NotWoofers/status/2053585495762903413

This is not at all goading the US back to war to hurt it more asymetrically (and Trump specifically) and get better concessions later on, but some how Iran’s serious response after having had weeks to establish a position. At least some think that, I have noticed.

I would be shell shocked if the response is not a restart of war. I suppose a TACO where Trump gives Iran a few days to modify its position or face a return to hostilities is possible. Because Iran is not even offering Status Quo Ante Bellum, but demanding some truly serious concessions and none of their own. Basic logic then, in my view, that this is designed to force a restart of war so US can be further politically damaged.