Trump wants to pretend that the Ceasefire is holding, like I assumed. He will be forced to likely bomb though, due to easy to predict events actually outside the control of the Orange one; like the IRGC doing their own thing and not accepting Operation Project Freedom. https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2051350966889328961
It’s like the Americans still have no idea what they are doing and who they are at war with. After all this time, no one has been able to give (or convince him to choose) Uncle Donald better options than such Hail Mary plans like we see now enacted with Operation “Project Freedom”.
It’s like the entire plan consists of “We’ve hit Iran really fucking hard, they know we can hit them much harder and because of that they will accept our face saving operation to avoid getting blown up”. Which would have have maybe worked fine if their “partner” in the dance was Canada or the UK, but it’s not.
It’s someone who you threatened with regime change, so they want to inflict so much damage that you abandon the idea and many haven’t abandoned it; so Iran will gamble that they can survive the economic and social pain and sacrifice more. At least it is willing to do so, which should come as no surprise really to anyone but Trump at this point in time.
Crazy shit, as usual.
This idea that Iran would sit tight without any negotiation progress is/was nuts. At some point, whilst the orange nutcase hesitated, they had to force the issue.
Doesn’t surprise me one bit they went for the UAE. The ones that were trying to benefit from the situation.
Iran imo seem to have an intelligent nutcase running the regime now. Or is it a number of nutcases with varying degrees of intelligence?
Who knows? Trump surely least of all from following his circus mumblings .
It’s a number of them running the show and their main priority is political victory and humilation of Trump and the US. They are willing to sacrifice quite a lot of pawns, as well as officers on the board, to get the peace they want.
It might not even be better than this, the entire point may just be the increased economic and political damage the US takes from prolonging this. For them it is (almost) irrelevant that they suffer more, for that is the nature of assymetric warfare anyway.
Side note, I really feel for the Lebanese people. Because they are kind of fucked now if this kicks off at scale.
Exactly. They literally, the entire thing, their thing, the Revolution; It’s all about blood, sacrifice and martyrs. It’s the bread and butter of their ideology, it isn’t “freedom and capitalism”, it is self sacrifice. In their propaganda anyway. But the IRGC are now literally run by the wanna-be shahed’s from the Iraq-Iran war.
Never underestimate the worth, in their eyes, of being an inferior opponent who manages to defeat the United States in conventional war too !
They were already at the limit with the sanctions which was seen by the protests and clamp down.
You can not win by inflicting pain. You have to offer a way out.
I wonder how much Russia is manipulating this?
The USA is looking weak and pushing the world to despise them. A few nudges and pushes here and there could cause even more havoc and madness than Trump can do on his own.
Dunno but it doesn’t take much from someone with knowledge of the oil and energy markets to figure out how to hurt the US. And they are literally playing into Iran’s hands.
Offering oil out of the US SPR to the rest of the world is biting, not fully yet but it’s coming. And of course everyone knew that Drill Baby Drill was never a thing.