Ding Dong.....the US Politics Thread (Part 1)

His show tonight was scheduled to be an interview with Ramaswamy and they were still marketing it as recently as this morning. So whatever happened it was seemingly sudden.

The only real question is was he ousted because of his outsize role in costing them $750M, or because the texts revealed during the legal action exposed his persona as a sham?

He is highly exposed in the Abby Grossberg lawsuit as well

He and Lemon will be making some announcement by week’s end. Whether business or personal remains to be seen. :wink:

Why not Hannity, too, would be my question.

Would Carlson go to someone like Newsmax, or OAN?

They are more extreme than Fox, but are still pretty fringe, but Tucker Carlson could potentially boost their numbers significantly.

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He could probably buy one of them and make it his new mouthpiece. Or get big equity as part of a deal. Still a massive draw for conservatives. Rupert’s just tiffed because of the $787M.

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From Marcy Wheeler ;

" Update: As Rayne linked in comments, it is Dominion related, but it seems to be because of the things Fox discovered Tucker had said about management, not about his defamation of Dominion.

But it was Carlson’s comments about Fox management, as revealed in the Dominion case, that played a role in his departure from Fox, a person familiar with the company’s thinking told The Post.

“Do the executives understand how much credibility and trust we’ve lost with our audience?” Carlson wrote to a colleague in a message a day after Fox, like other media outlets, called the election for Joe Biden. In another message, he referred to management with an expletive: “Those f—–s are destroying our credibility.” He later wrote: “A combination of incompetent liberals and top leadership with too much pride to back down is what’s happening.”

Tucker’s Executive Producer is also out, though, so it’s likely more than just that.

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:man_facepalming:

I posted crime stats from the SFPD… to accompany the news reports. guessing you overlooked it.

9000 larceny thefts so far this year. what’s that amount to, 75/day?

No I didnt overlook it. That was what I referred to as statistics without context or baseline. 9000 incidents or larceny seems like a lot of incidents, but is it? I have absolutely no idea and nothing on that dashboard helps me answer that. Statistics in this form are not particularly helpful unless everyone involved is very familiar with what norms are and I’m pretty sure none of are familiar enough with crime subtype frequency figures not normalized for population for anyone to take meaningful out of it.

But let’s ignore that and just accept its a LOT of a larceny. Is that the type of crime that makes a city dangerous? Is larceny specifically enough of an issue, even at “high” levels, to justify scare stories about urban crime being a problem (in blue cities)? It doesnt seem like it to me, but maybe it is. But simply posting a dashboard like this and pointing to that contextless metric and thinking that demonstrates a point is begging the question. It is exactly the sort of vibe based framing the article I posted was identifying as problematic.

With regard to San Francisco, just want to say I had a lovely lunch there with Mrs ROTW, down in Fisherman’s Wharf. Then to walk it off we walked up a hill, toward the Ghirardelli factory, to get chocolate. We were safe, it was fine, it was a lovely city. Sunny, but with a cool breeze coming off the ocean when we were there.

That was about 3 years ago now.

Police stats? Hard to say much, without context. At a cursory glance, some things seem up, some things seem down, year on year, but I would want a wider lens to make sense of it, and I’d also want to compare it to other cities to get a feel for it.

But I think it’s fair to take as a given that most large cities in America will have an undesirable underbelly, where crime stats are not what you would want to see.

The country as a whole seems to divide into have and have nots, more than most. When you are at, or near, to the bottom of the pile, it usually comes with numerous issues, including increased substance abuse and associated crimes.

That’s just a general observation, not backed by data I’m thinking about.

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And to no-one’s surprise … Joe Biden announces his bid for re-election in 2024.

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Early odds from Gallup.

To be re-elected: 2-1.
To die before the election: 3-1.

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It will be interesting to see how many Republicans complain about Donald Trump’s age (as though that is in the top 100 things worthy of complaint or disqualification with Trump).

Anyway, when Biden became President, he was the age of Trump, now. Obese Trump. And all the Republicans were complaining, too old!

So, let’s see some of that for their own man.

I won’t hold my breath.

One of the inside stories is that Biden has been coy about announcing because he was willing to walk away if the GOP nominated someone other than Trump, but if it was Trump they all felt Biden was the best candidate to beat him. I dont like it, I don’t think it’s consistent with the way he framed run in 2020, but you have to acknowledge the analysis is probably correct.

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Video announcement. Not live, apparently. Biden announcement, take 25. At some point he has to face live human beings.

He had a public appearance yesterday and has 2 on his schedule today

How dare he not be superhuman???

(That’s not a slur at anyone in particular by the way, it’s more a commentary on how political leaders are expected to appear at everything, without anyone actually considering that if they appear at every damn thing, when on earth are they supposed to actually be tackling the issues?)