Corrupt to the core
Traurig is reported to have had over 20 cases go before the court since
The issue is really more about taking questions. The ability to think on his feet, off the cuff. I haven’t been paying close attention. I’ve read he doesn’t do live press, but I don’t know that it’s true. In a campaign, he will be expected to debate. At his age, if he comes off as dottering, it won’t help. Of course, if he’s running against a 78-year-old, that’s better for him.
As a matter of interest, are any of our American friends in favour of having assault rifles being legal in the US?
Why are the Democrats so sure that Biden will beat Trump?
Age?
Because he did it so convincingly (relatively speaking) last time around. Most of the more obvious criticisms of his candidacy fall apart when compared against an alternative of Trump. You never really know how things will actually play out, but it’s a pretty compelling theory of the case.
This headline says it all.
They probably think that having already beaten him once from outside the WH that now he’s the incumbent it’s a pretty safe bet he’ll be able to do it again.
If there’s a low turnout due to voter apathy, it might go badly.
They voted in record numbers for Trump v Biden last time. Trump might be a great motivator for the Republican base , but he’s an even better one for driving Dems and Independents to the polls.
4 Likes
I think that is exactly why Biden would not run against another Republican. Trump is too polarizing for apathy in the Democratic base
2 Likes
Yes, I think lot of the prognosticators are misinterpreting the approval polls. Biden’s low approvals do not translate as the same way as they historically would have into him being a weak candidate. The fact no credible challengers within the party are raising their heads is demonstration of his perceived strength.
1 Like
Not sure which thread to post this in, but doing it here due to how pervasive they have been in debates on elections for the past 10+ years, but 538 has essentially been killed as part of broad cuts across many of Disney’s media outlets.
Lots of cuts, but most critically Nate Silver is out. His contract is expiring soon and once he leaves Disney dont appear to be keeping anything other than the name. Coupled with the broader cuts it’s difficult to see what they think they will have left.
What even is the point of that, in a business sense?
Surely someone else will snap him/it up.
I would not be surprised if they are just killing it. I know it didnt make money, and once upon a time that might been ok for a mega corp to cover the losses of a small boutique prestige division, but Nate’s personal reputation has taken a dive in recent years, and then only partly related to a perceived usefulness in framing elections. If they were ever ok with it not making money, they’d be a lot less inclined to do so with his changing profile.
Surely it would have been better to just sell it, is what I was wondering. Also, interesting to hear about his perceived reputation, never really heard about that.
I believe he has made a fool of himself on twitter a few times by his incorrect or illogical readings of data.
Covid forced us to ask the question of whether certain “experts” were always this idiotic and narcissistic, or whether the stress of covid just pushed some people into a bad place, but he really exposed himself. Speaking loudly and proudly on things he clearly had no idea about and delving deeper and deeper into personal grievance and using anecdotes to support the idea he wanted to be true was a really bad look for someone positions as the dispassionate data guy.
You probably had to be on twitter to see it, so it might not have directly impacted that many people’s opinions of him and the brand, but as he is a very online person and this attitude seemingly leeched into his election modeling work as well. He’s always given short shrift to critiques of that work because the overwhelming majority of those critiques are ill informed. That must be genuinely exhausting. But in 2022 there were legitimate questions of some of the decisions they were making and the way it was affecting their framing. These were not just coming from people who cannot be pawned off as just a know nothing dude in your twitter mentions, and he reacted the largely the same way to that. The critiques were then shown to be right.
1 Like
After Lindsey Graham , Trump’s Lickspittle-in-Chief , Congress’ second most contemptible Senator surely has to be the performative preacher man from Texas , Ted Cruz.
Another traitor who was at one time one of Trump’s greatest detractors and once notably called him a snivelling little coward after he insulted his wife , soon came around of course to the Trump camp when he realised The Donald’s power to primary him , and like Graham before him became one of his greatest stalwarts.
So much in fact that he was the first Senator to object to Biden’s victory. But there’s even more besides. Further fallout from the Fox/Dominion case has now revealed recordings of just how deeply Cruz was involved in the attempt to help Trump steal the election. Up to , and including , his willingness to argue Trump’s lies in front of the Supreme Court if they could just get it that far.
Anyway , for his efforts , and his indiscretion in wanting to ingratiate himself with Trump in such a public manner , he has now brought upon himself the full glare of the media , and more importantly , has piqued the interest of the Special Counsel.
It really couldn’t have happened to a nicer guy.
2 Likes