If you are wondering how Arizona went from being called for Joe Biden, to now appearing to be in play, then this Arizona Republic report explains. In a contrast to the scenes that unfolding up in the ‘rust belt’, the late counted mail-in ballots are breaking for the president. They report:
As Maricopa County released the results from 140,000 more ballots on Wednesday night and Thursday morning, president Donald Trump received almost the exact share he would need to charge back to win Arizona’s 11 electoral votes and potentially reelection.
Trump won the batches of ballots from Maricopa County counted Wednesday and early Thursday by a roughly 57-40 margin over former vice president Joe Biden.
Those votes — likely early ballots sent to the county on Monday and Tuesday — narrowed Biden’s lead over Trump in Arizona to 68,000 votes, when his lead had been more than 90,000 votes earlier Wednesday.
Paul Bentz, a Republican pollster with the consulting firm HighGround, said Trump needs to win 57.6% of the 470,000 votes that the Arizona Republic estimates remain to be counted.
“That’s almost exactly what he got in the first batch,” Bentz said. “He could do it.”
Basically, it looks as if AP was assuming most mail-in votes would be for Biden, as is playing out elsewhere, but in Arizona so far the opposite has been true. It looks like the result there is still very much up in the air, sadly.
I think Georgia (narrowly) and North Carolina will go to Trump,a little too much to make up with not many votes left to make it up.
Pennsylvania and Arizona have similar %s to make up with roughly 11% of votes so could go either way.
Haven’t heard anything from Nevada since yesterday so think they’re holding off till they finish and they will be the decider, either way.
If PA can be called today for Biden it would be fantastic if Nevada eventually went for Trump. Thread the needle there for what sort of argument these loons are going to have to make.
