The Middle East Thread

I was actually in just to post this nonsense from Trump (who seem to have woken up):

— Trump’s Syria message:

*Opposition fighters in Syria, in an unprecedented move, have totally taken over numerous cities, in a highly coordinated offensive, and are now on the outskirts of Damascus, obviously preparing to make a very big move toward taking out Assad. *

*Russia, because they are so tied up in Ukraine, and with the loss there of over 600,000 soldiers, seems incapable of stopping this literal march through Syria, a country they have protected for years. *

*This is where former President Obama refused to honor his commitment of protecting the RED LINE IN THE SAND, and all hell broke out, with Russia stepping in. *

*But now they are, like possibly Assad himself, being forced out, and it may actually be the best thing that can happen to them. There was never much of a benefit in Syria for Russia, other than to make Obama look really stupid. *

In any event, Syria is a mess, but is not our friend, & THE UNITED STATES SHOULD HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH IT. THIS IS NOT OUR FIGHT. LET IT PLAY OUT. DO NOT GET INVOLVED!

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lol (I’m pretty sure he’s got that wrong before)

Nothing could be worse than the regime of the Assad’s. Both father and son have been absolute plagues for Syria throughout decades. Let’s see what comes next, but I hope that Assad will finally be removed without too much more suffering for the civil population.

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Be careful what you wish for…

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Rebels attacking hell, also known as Sednaya prison, where more than 30 000 have been executed (and tortured in the most heinous ways possible), right now.

Meanwhile: IDF is reported to be in firefights and repelling what they describe as an armed gang, attacking a UN post in the Hader area of syria. Apparantly, ironically enough, the IDF is assissting the UNi contigent repelling the attack from the Golan.

Scenes all over. Civilians liberating themselves:
https://x.com/abdalhadealani/status/1865396303284285856

Anyway, I should really leave the internet now…

Who is funding and supplying weapons to the main rebel group? Saudi?

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The Syrian Arab Army primarily. Literally much more than 90 percent of it.

Anyway, it is all over. Russian ships are fleeing, Russia has been busy evacuating Heimenem airport today, shuttling their heavy lifters.

Damascus has fallen, it is all over.

The Republican Guard has fled Damascus, Assad’s secret police negotiating free entry to rebel factions.

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And everyone wonders who was on this plane that got shot down:
A Syrian IL-76T coming from Damascus lost fast altitude near Homs and possibly crashed west of that city. There are rumors that it was Assad‘s plane.

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At this stage, probably the most convenient outcome for Putin. Maybe their ECM stood next to a window?

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Yes, there are rumours it was the Russians who ganked him indeed, though it would be difficult for them as they were busy evacuating. Assad reached out to the Trump today, claimed he would break all relations with Iran and Hezbollah if the US would save him. But it leaked and it when it leaked, Hezbollah withdrew from Quneitra earlier today but unclear if there was a correlation.

We might never know who shot the plane down.

It’s going to be a fun trip for Russia’s Med Fleet, as Turkey denies them access to the Bosphorus.

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https://x.com/timtams83/status/1865464590177386727

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Syrians all over Twitter are posting their real picture, which would have been suicidal only 2 days ago.

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Previously today, there was this:
https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1865534947005551004

More than 1000 troops, with armour, of Maher al Assad’s 4th division, fled into iraq in a column.

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The pictures and videos we shall see from the regimes torture and death camp, Sednaya, is going to be absolutely awful. In Daraa, they have already found the secret police files on residents. It is fucking huge STASI-like columns of drawers marked with family names.

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https://x.com/markito0171/status/1865538767232147825

Posted 10 min ago
https://x.com/MacWBishop/status/1865605145997848649

But it doesn’t mean anything much other than that there is some sporadic fighting from hold out SAA.

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https://x.com/Charles_Lister/status/1865606999368417513

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1865603144085889183

image

https://x.com/timourazhari/status/1865600570997854397

@Arminius

We don’t know yet that he was on that plane. Someone was, but we don’t know if it was him (direction, against Homs, also bizarre).

https://x.com/JimmySecUK/status/1865601955441033637

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