So my reading on the situation about the midfield is this…
Firstly, I don’t think we are desperate for a “6” as assumed. We just want players of a particular profile - energetic, technically excellent, capable of playing the high press and ideally tactically flexible.
Start of the window we were looking for two midfielders to start and one backup/rotational player to rotate with Fabinho. We sign Mac Allister and looked at Khephren Thuram, Mathias Nunes and a host of other attack minded CMs for the other CM but eventually reached for the more talented Szoboszlai when his move Newcastle stalled and we were made aware of his release clause - probably by his agent.
We start looking for younger players to sit behind the experienced midfielders - Lavia the top choice and also checked on Andre Trindade.
Suddenly Fabinho and Henderson want out. I’m guessing the money was a big factor but also that neither of them wanted to play in a rotation/back up role having previously been key players. We were ok with letting Fabinho go but tried to keep Henderson until he made it clear he didn’t want to stay. Lots of rumours of Saudi clubs not paying bills and a transfer suspension for at least one of them so we negotiated hard to get as much money as we could upfront.
So we then have to pivot - we have continued negotiations with Southampton for Lavia and would still proceed with that deal even if it meant him starting a little more than we initally wanted. However, Southampton’s negotiating position started at £50m and did not budge.
Liverpool liked Lavia but that kind of money was starting to feel awfully high for a player we initially viewed as a prospect/rotation player and now that we have an extra £50m to play with we start to investigate our top rated players that we were not previously moving on because we didn’t have the cash - namely Caicedo but I’m sure we checked on Tchouameni too.
So we maintained our interest in Lavia, edging some bets in at prices we were increasingly uncomfortable with while waiting to get the green light from Caicedo if we could make that deal (whether that was wise or not is up to individuals to judge). Caicedo’s agent gives the green light and we move quickly, bidding £115m. Unfortunately for us we were being played - Caicedo’s camp had no intention of moving him to us they just wanted to speed up the £250k, 8 year deal from Chelsea.
Then we come back to Lavia but we have the same problem as before, he’s expensive for the squad role we see him taking up. Chelsea move for him too and we don’t follow it up (according to some we did but club denied it).
So long story short I think we got played like a violin by Caicedo’s agent then decided the price for Lavia is too high.
From this point on we have to choose if we are looking for a starter or a backup/young prospect. However there are no guarantees we like any of the options and its not our style to sign stop-gaps.
Another possible option could be to permanently move Trent into midfield and use him as a deep midfielder, signing a RB to take his place. Finally we could sign a left sided CB and go all in on the Trent free-role (yes we do the same formation at youth level, suggesting we like it long term).
I’m not going to praise or criticise Schmadtke/Hogan for these events - we don’t and won’t know what happened in reality but I think the above is a realistic situation and probably not a million miles off the truth.