I think his possession stats are a big clue as to why weāre interested, I think itās pretty clear Slot is after more control than the chaos Darwin providesā¦
I dont think our guys use externally calculated xG heavily in their model, but conceptually they are building their model based on behaviors/actions that amount to the same thing - is he doing stuff that when done consistently is expected to result in goals being scored. Interestingly, in the various stuff Spearman and Graham has said on the media tours since leaving, they have suggested weāve actually viewed underperforming xG as an opportunity because it means the player is likely undervalued by the market and with a belief in mean reversion that sooner than later their underperformance will level out.
I wonder if they have moderated any of their thinking on this since Darwin?
āTarget = (((Data Analysis Team Recommendation + Opinion of Coaching Staff + (Potential Commercial Appeal * Number of letters fans will have to pay to have name printed on shirts)/(Transfer Fee + Wages) - 100% chance if transfer thread is opened by Nikola)