It’s a bit unfair to say this is cynical timing given that they have been speaking regularly on the 'phone over the last few months but you’d have to think that No.10 would have wanted to use this for political advantage given the vote later
Odd one for those who don’t like Boris and the Conservatives. If he stays, better chance of them losing the next election. If he goes and gets swept away, much harder to pry them all pit at the next election.
Except that it’s not. How can it be considered ‘done’ when there is an ongoing constitutional crisis in Northern Ireland which is a direct result of Johnson’s lies about Brexit. And when the UK Govt. is threatening to break international law because they now want to renege on a treaty that they negotiated and sold as a great deal for the UK.
Done in that it cannot (politically) be reversed. Obviously there remain many issues to resolve that flow from the UK’s formal exit from the EU (the issue that is done).
We’ve already had one senior Tory calling for the UK to rejoin the single market this week . Were Johnson to be ousted and the Brexiteers sidelined in favour of someone less dogmatic , then it’s quite conceivable that the more pragmatic wing of the Tory party would consider it a price worth paying to deal with some very serious issues.
Any new leader would have to be voted on by the Tory membership. There was huge entryism from far right parties to get Johnson elected so I can’t see them going for pragmatists.
British politics is very messed up in this regard.
On the vote of no confidence, it’s highly possible that Johnson will win. But you never win votes of no confidence for long. Theresa May survived one, and was gone five months later.
The Tories will be proceeding with a leader who demonstrably does not hold the confidence of a sizeable chunk of the party. He will definitely not contest the next election.