I’m calling it. Trump’s gonna win.
I’d rather be proven to be a jinxer than be proven to be right.
I bet that goes for a lot of people.
I think Harris will win, but it will be closer than I’d like to see. Then a close race might give Trump some sort of mechanism to steal it, and it looks like that’s what he has been preparing for. Thats my fear.
My hope is Harris wins by such a margin that Trump has no recourse and is defeated, and that spawns a chain of events where the GOP distance themselves from him, justice catches up with him, and the GOP has an internal fight over what sort of party it wants to be, and it decides to try to enlarge its tent and appeal, as the current path is a losing formula.
That might not be possible, but it’s what I’m hoping for.
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What makes you think that Harris will win ROTW? Just interested to get your perspective.
I think what will be telling is that enough people want the country to move forward. They are sick of how nasty it has all become, and they want America to be a place of hope and possibility, not fear and reprisal.
The key will be getting the Dems out to vote, and in numerous districts that has been made more difficult as voter rolls have been suppressed and scrubbed, and districts are gerrymandered to suit the GOP. The game has been really dirty.
But…
Even though Trump has a large base, it is not the majority. My biggest reason for a Harris win is she has the numbers, and ultimately my hope is that the people will not be stopped, even with all the dirty tricks. More want what she is offering than what Trump is offering.
Tactically Harris has several paths to the White House via the antiquated electoral college system. I suspect Pennsylvania will still be a bell weather state, and she will win it.
I’m hopeful, but given what we’ve seen, there’s also reason for concern in the back of my mind, as Trump has done a lot of groundwork to steal it.
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Really hope you’re right.
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CNN inviting Donalds is as disgraceful as Donalds himself.
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Vance added. “American families aren’t having enough children. And I think there’s evidence that some of the things that we’re doing to parents is driving down the number of children that American families are having. In particular, there’s evidence that the car seat rules that we’ve imposed — which, of course, I want kids to drive in car seats — have driven down the number of babies born in this country by over 100,000.”
Weirdos
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Who doesn’t. 
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@SBYM hates being in a car seat even though it’s for his own safety
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I would really like to see what the evidence is that establishes causality between car seat rules and declining birth rate.
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When approached for the evidence, Vance’s office declined to respond.
Shocker.
“But have you seen what they’re doing to Springfield?”
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How is Walz possibly going to handle such a wickedly sharp mind in the debate?
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I worry he’ll be dumbfounded by the idiocy.
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It’s a dog eat dog world out there. Walz has to be careful with another stable genius.
Well, dang.
Now, there might be other factors, such as poor performance of public schools, expensive daycare, high student debt levels in peak reproductive years and other such trivia…but looks like Vance has this issue covered.
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I haven’t read the original study, but I don’t think the Mises Institute, named after Ludwig von Mises, and has this as their description just below the article is a particularly unbiased source?
EDIT: I’ve read the abstract of the second paper and already I’ve found that they’ve misrepresented the paper:
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Well, also the small matter of 8,000 per annum doesn’t come anywhere close to meaningfully affecting the fertility rate in a population that sees about 3.6 million births per annum.
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All systems are doomed to fail. Eventually apathy, complacency and cynicism ensure complete gaming of any given system.
It’s also correlational, and without actually examining the data they used to come to their conclusion I’m not sure how McMaken is so convinced despite the authors explicitly denying that…
I wonder if it’s anything to do with McMaken’s ideological/political/personal affiliations…
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Probably best not to follow magas down rabbit holes.
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